Question Details

Who will be the next President of Mexico?

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Who will be the next President of Mexico?

Asked by: Super UserStephen Tilley in Politics » Latin America
Settled on 07/18/2012 21:05 Settled by Super Userkruijs
Winning option:Enrique Peña Nieto Peña Nieto edged leftist candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador with 38 percent of the vote, or close to 20 million ballots, compared to almot 32 percent, or almost 16 million ballots.

http://www.voxxi.com/mexico-pri-enrique-pena-nieto-border/

Predictions

Enrique Peña Nieto
Enrique Peña Nieto
PRI (Institutional Revolutionary Party)
Josefina Vázquez Mota
Josefina Vázquez Mota
PAN (National Action Party)
Andrés Manuel López Obrador
Andrés Manuel López Obrador
PRD (Party of the Democratic Revolution)
Other / election cancelled or postponed
Other / election cancelled or postponed

Background

http://mexicoinstituteonelections.wordpress.com/2012/04/23/the-week-in-review-4232012/#more-1463

New polls released in the past week revealed several changes in the electoral contest. First, the PRI’s Enrique Peña Nieto continues to solidify his lead. The Mitofsky polling firm puts his support at 40.2 percent; excluding undecided voters or those that professed no preference, his “effective vote” is nearly 50 percent.

In addition, the PAN’s Josefina Vázquez Mota is struggling to maintain her second-place standing. A new Mileno/GEA-ISA poll shows her trailing the PRD’s Andrés Manuel López Obrador for the first time in the campaign; he garners 19.3 percent support and she polls at 17.9 percent. While the reliability of GEA-ISA polls have been called into question- it produced the (only) poll that showed Vázquez Mota just seven points behind Peña Nieto in February and other contemporary polls show her still ahead of AMLO – this latest poll is consistent with the trend showing that support for the panista has steadily dropped.

Find similar: Mexican, election, Nieto, Mota, Obrador

Comments

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   Super UserStephen Tilley

Despite the recount I remain reluctant to see this settled before the next president is officially sworn in. The 4.4% value on 'Other' shows that I am not alone in thinking that things may not go according to plan.

   Super UserStephen Tilley

I am reluctant to settle this before the next president is sworn in.

   Super UserJosef Biesenberger

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-04-24/pena-nieto-s-two-digit-lead-little-changed-in-mexico-poll.html

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