Question Details

How old will the Pope be on Easter Sunday 2013?

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How old will the Pope be on Easter Sunday 2013?

Asked by: Super UserStephen Tilley in Politics » Inter-/Multinational
voided voided by Super Userkruijs: Void: starting odds seem unrealistic. please re submit using 70% for the "80 or over" option. spread the remaining 30% on the other options.

Predictions
under 50
2.3% →
50 to 59
8.3% →
60 to 69
8.3% →
70 to 79
8.3% →
80 or over
70.6% →
There will be an interregnum while a new pope is elected
2.3% →

Background

Benedict XVI (Benedictus PP. XVI; Benedetto XVI; Benedikt XVI) f.k.a. Joseph Aloisius Ratzinger was born in 1927. Will he still be on the papal throne next Easter or there be a successor in place, or an interregnum?

Find similar: Benedict XVI, successor, Pope

Comments

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   Super Userkruijs

well, if you mean that it was to be expected that the pope would resign - as the first pope since 1294 - I'd say, yes.

no offense, of course, but as the graph indicates, the majority of the predictors did have a different expectation (as did I) at the time you submitted the question.

now we all know better ;-)

   Super UserStephen Tilley

I think today's news indicate my odds were realistic?

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