Question Details

2011 Big Ten Men's Basketball Tournament: Who will win?


Settled on 03/13/2011 21:51 Settled by


Predictions
Background
Big Ten Tournament Information
March 10th-13th, 2011 at Conseco Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/conference-tournaments/big-ten/
In our most recent calculations, we project Ohio State as the most likely winner of the 2011 Big Ten Tournament, with projected Big Ten Tournament win odds of 44.3%. The second most likely team to top the Big Ten bracket is Purdue, with a 29.6% chance to win the Big Ten Tournament in 2011.
The 2011 Big Ten tournament bracket odds are the round-by-round survival odds for every 2011 Big Ten tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big Ten tournament championship for every team in the 2011 Big Ten bracket.
The 2011 Big Ten standings (http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/conference-tournaments/big-ten/) determine the seeds of the teams in the 2011 Big Ten Tournament bracket. The teams with the best Big Ten conference records receive top seeds in the 2011 Big Ten Tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2011 Big Ten Tournament depend only partly on their Big Ten bracket seed. Winning the Big Ten Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2011 Big Ten bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big Ten Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the Big Ten Tournament championship than a team with a worse Big Ten tournament seed.
In addition, because Big Ten tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big Ten conference games, Big Ten tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big Ten bracket can have better odds to win the 2011 Big Ten Tournament than lower seeded teams in the Big Ten bracket.
2011 Big Ten Men's Basketball Tournament Schedule:
Thursday, March 10, 2011
Game 1: No. 8 Seed vs. No. 9 Seed, 2:30 p.m., ESPN2
Game 2: No. 7 Seed vs. No. 10 Seed, 25 minutes following Game 1 conclusion, ESPN2
Game 3: No. 6 Seed vs. No. 11 Seed, 7:30 p.m., Big Ten Network
Friday, March 11, 2011
Game 4: No. 1 Seed vs. Game 1 Winner, Noon, ESPN
Game 5: No. 4 Seed vs. No. 5 Seed, 25 minutes following Game 4 conclusion, ESPN
Game 6: No. 2 Seed vs. Game 2 Winner, 6:30 p.m., Big Ten Network
Game 7: No. 3 Seed vs. Game 3 Winner, 25 minutes following Game 6 conclusion, Big Ten Network
Saturday, March 12, 2011
Game 8: Game 4 Winner vs. Game 5 Winner, 1:40 p.m., CBS Sports
Game 9: Game 6 Winner vs. Game 7 Winner, 25 minutes following Game 8 conclusion, CBS Sports
Sunday, March 13, 2011
Game 10: Tournament Championship, 3:30 p.m., CBS Sports
(All times Eastern)
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