Question Details

Sell Apple to buy LinkedIn? Really?

Sell Apple to buy LinkedIn? Really?

Asked by: Super Userzvassil in Business » Results
Settled on 06/06/2011 05:31 Settled by Super Userkruijs
Winning option:PL beats LNKD by 3.00 pp or more AAPL beats LNKD by (+2.41) - (-16.33) = 18.74 pp

Predictions

LNKD beats AAPL by 3.00 percentage points or more
0.3%
LNKD beats AAPL by 1.50 to 2.99 pp
0.8%
LNKD beats AAPL by 0.50 to 1.49 pp
2.9%
LNKD and AAPL differ not more than 0.49 pp
2.6%
AAPL beats LNKD by 0.50 to 1.49 pp
2.2%
AAPL beats LNKD by 1.50 to 2.99 pp
1.6%
AAPL beats LNKD by 3.00 pp or more
89.6%

Background

LinkedIn shares skyrocketed in debut. But where will they stand in a few weeks?

John Shinal at MarkedWatch thinks you should sell Apple Inc (AAPL) shares to buy LinkedIn Corp (LNKD) shares with the proceeds...
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/sell-apple-to-buy-linkedin-2011-05-20

I don' t really know if you should do that, but here is the question:

Which stock will perform better in two weeks time, until June 3rd?

For this market, we calculate relative performance as the difference, in percentage points (pp), between the % change of the closing value of each stock for the period (May 20th - June 3rd).

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   Super Userzvassil

03/06 at close (end of period) -
AAPL 343.31 (-0.81% for the day, +2.41% for the period)
LNKD 77.89 (-0.94% for the day, -16.33% for the period)

AAPL beats LNKD by (+2.41) - (-16.33) = 18.74 pp

   Super Userzvassil

02/06 at close -
AAPL 345.97 (+0.13% for the day, +3.21% for the period)
LNKD 78.67 (+1.58% for the day, -15.49% for the period)

   Super Userzvassil

01/06 at close -
AAPL 345.39 (-0.67% for the day, +3.07% for the period)
LNKD 77.48 (-5.03% for the day, -16.77% for the period)

   Super Userzvassil

31/05 at close -
AAPL 347.83 (+3.09% for the day, +3.76% for the period)
LNKD 81.58 (-7.63% for the day, -12.36% for the period)

Discounted short-sale deal not needed, thanks
Commentary: Revealing reaction on column on Apple and LinkedIn
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/discounted-short-sale-deal-not-needed-thanks-2011-05-31?link=MW_home_latest_news

...As I explained in the column, I’ve got reasons to believe that at some point in the near future (sic!)— in six months, perhaps, or a year or two — Apple will be trading lower than it is today, while LinkedIn will be trading higher....

   Super Userzvassil

27/05 at close -
AAPL 337.41 (+0.72% for the day, +0.65% for the period)
LNKD 88.32 (+2.26% for the day, -5.12% for the period)

   Super Userzvassil

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/26/linkedin-options-debut-idUSN2610380720110526
LinkedIn options to start trading in US on Friday

..."There will be a lot of put activity with speculators buying these contracts on the view that the IPO price was overblown," said Patrick Mortimer, director of options trading at stock and options block execution firm Pipeline Trading Systems....

   Super Userzvassil

LinkedIn options start trading Friday
http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2011/05/26/linkedin-options-start-trading-friday/

...The CBOE has details of LinkedIn options which are set to start trading on Friday...
The availability of options should give those feeling bearish about LinkedIn’s stock price another way to play their expectations....

   Super Userzvassil

26/05 at close:
AAPL 335.00 (-0.53% for the day, -0.07% for the period)
LNKD 85.99 (-8.84% for the day, -7.63% for the period)
... Humpty Dumpty had a great fall... :(

   Super Userzvassil

25/05 at close:
AAPL 336.78 (+1.38% for the day, +0.47% for the preiod)
LNKD 94.33 (-1.17% for the day, +1.33% for the period)

   Super Userzvassil

24/05 at close:
AAPL 332.19 (-0.66 for the day, -0.90% for the preiod)
LNKD 95.45 (+8.10% for the day, +2.54% for the period)

   Super Userzvassil

at close today, AAPL 334.40 (-0.34%); LNKD 87.15 (-1.30%)

   Super Userzvassil

Actually, I seem to be listed, but could never log in... Anyway, that does not tell how many LNKD shares the major funds will gobble ;)

   cici

I am happy to report I have been removed from Linkedin!

   cici

Unless they clean their files this is a not to be relied on Co. For example, I'M listed on Linkedin.

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