Question Details
Elections 2012: Will one party strike out the other?
Predictions
Background
And now the next politics Market. After the depressing dept ceiling wreck 77% call congress "spoiled children" and Congress is liked by only 18% (who are those perverts). The logical conclusion sending all the clowns packing won´t happen because there is no alternative 3rd party and money still is speach in the USA.
After this fine example of bipartisanship under Tea party influence, people should decide clearly next time around. This asks for the mayority party (caucus) in House & Senat and which Party wins the Presidency. First I wanted 3 wins D; 3 wins R and "other" but than I decided to make it more difficult in spliting other in all cases.
Settlement is based on election results and will follow closely.
This is based on
President Barrack Obama (D) elected 2008
Senate 100: 53 D (incl. 2 Independents) R 47 - be aware of the ti breaking role of the VP - 33 up for election + needed special elections
House 435: 240 R D 190 - all up for reelection
Sorry starting odds only reflect my opinion - please change them!
Portal: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Election_2012#United_States
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2012
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2012
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2012
Will edit some more background next week!
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