User Profile
firedoglake
Member since 12/10/2010
All time highest net worth: 123,677.81 KtN$ (reached: 12/31/2024)
Current net worth : 121,738.37 KtN$
Predictions : 33,860
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After recent crash below 17.500 points: what will happen next to NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) stock mkt. Index? Nasdaq stock-market is closed for more than one day due to a crashBought: 04/17/2025 02:36 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.7% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.7% To Win: 274.75 KtN$ -
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2032? YesBought: 04/17/2025 02:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 60.3% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 60.3% To Win: 16.61 KtN$ -
In what year will Lindsay Hoyle cease to be the Speaker of the UK House of Commons? 2025Bought: 04/16/2025 20:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.8% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.8% To Win: 213.86 KtN$ -
Which is the next of these 11 countries to lose its standard & poors AAA rating ? SingaporeBought: 04/16/2025 18:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 7.2% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 7.2% To Win: 141.58 KtN$ -
US Fire danger: Will Number of fires and / or Area burned get new annual 10year-highs in 2025? No. of fires and Area burned @ new highBought: 04/16/2025 17:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 24.7% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 24.7% To Win: 40.67 KtN$ -
Will Sir Keir Starmer ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (August 1st, 2040)Bought: 04/15/2025 18:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 56.2% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 56.0% To Win: 17.81 KtN$ -
What Average Air-Temperature anomaly (base 1991-2020) will Arctic Siberia 74°N-105°E get in 2025 ? +1°C or lessBought: 04/15/2025 12:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 27.3% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 27.3% To Win: 36.70 KtN$ -
Will Bitcoin-Price climb above USD 123.456 (closing coindesk) at any day until end 2025 ? YesBought: 04/14/2025 11:45 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 58.2% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 58.2% To Win: 17.19 KtN$ -
What Annual Increase (ppb) in Globally-Averaged Atmospheric CH4 (Methane) will we get for 2024? 2024 below 5 ppbBought: 04/13/2025 13:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 21.5% Gain: -0.07 KtN$ Current: 9.93 KtN$ @ 21.4% To Win: 46.64 KtN$ -
When will the European Central Bank ECB cut the key-ECB-rate down to 3.5% or even lower? later or neverBought: 04/13/2025 11:29 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 43.2% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 43.2% To Win: 23.20 KtN$ -
When will European Carbon Emission Certificates cost more than 100 EUR / to CO2? Q3-2025Bought: 04/13/2025 11:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.4% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.4% To Win: 49.15 KtN$ -
What number of named Pacific Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2025 have? 22 or moreBought: 04/11/2025 23:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 31.7% Gain: -0.09 KtN$ Current: 9.91 KtN$ @ 31.4% To Win: 31.59 KtN$ -
Will the Patriots win another Super Bowl in the next ten years? NoBought: 04/11/2025 21:36 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 75.8% Gain: -0.08 KtN$ Current: 19.92 KtN$ @ 75.5% To Win: 26.40 KtN$ -
When will US Fed decrease Fed Funds Rate to the range 4.00% - 4.25% or even lower? later or neverBought: 04/11/2025 17:04 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.3% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 20.2% To Win: 49.46 KtN$ -
Will Barcelona's Sagrada Familia be officially be completed in (or before) 2026? YesBought: 04/11/2025 16:50 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 66.4% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 20.00 KtN$ @ 66.4% To Win: 30.14 KtN$ -
When will Apple launch a home robot? 2024Bought: 04/11/2025 07:01 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.7% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 5.6% To Win: 179.68 KtN$ -
When will US Fed decrease Fed Funds Rate to the range 4.00% - 4.25% or even lower? Q3_2025Bought: 04/10/2025 05:22 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 34.6% Gain: 0.06 KtN$ Current: 10.06 KtN$ @ 34.8% To Win: 28.94 KtN$ -
When will US Fed decrease Fed Funds Rate to the range 4.00% - 4.25% or even lower? Q3_2025Bought: 04/10/2025 05:01 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 34.6% Gain: 0.07 KtN$ Current: 10.07 KtN$ @ 34.8% To Win: 28.99 KtN$ -
Will the Number of People leaving the German Catholic Church in 2024 drop below 400.000 ? NoBought: 04/09/2025 21:38 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 49.4% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 49.2% To Win: 20.27 KtN$ -
How many of these statements will be true at the end of 2025? All TenBought: 04/09/2025 21:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.0% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.0% To Win: 254.69 KtN$ -
Will 10 Year U.S. Treasury Rate climb again below 5.0 % ? Jan-Jun_2025Bought: 04/09/2025 04:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 41.3% Gain: -0.08 KtN$ Current: 9.92 KtN$ @ 41.0% To Win: 24.23 KtN$ -
When will population of Masdar City (located in Emirate Abu Dhabi) exceed 10.000 inhabitants ? 2029 - 2031Bought: 04/08/2025 11:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 26.6% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 26.6% To Win: 37.63 KtN$ -
What's the number of Crypto-Currencies on coinmarketcap.com with Market Cap > 0 by the end of 2025? 3.300 or moreBought: 04/08/2025 11:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 21.5% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 21.4% To Win: 46.77 KtN$ -
What Temperature Anomaly (basis 1961-1990) will Germany get in 2025? >= +2.5°CBought: 04/08/2025 06:34 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 46.6% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 46.3% To Win: 21.50 KtN$ -
When will summer Arctic Sea ice coverage drop to less than 3 millions of square kilometers? Summer 2026Bought: 04/08/2025 06:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.3% Gain: 0.06 KtN$ Current: 10.06 KtN$ @ 9.4% To Win: 108.61 KtN$ -
When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2027Bought: 04/07/2025 15:55 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 13.2% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 13.1% To Win: 76.53 KtN$ -
Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2025 sink below 2024 value? noBought: 04/07/2025 15:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 54.6% Gain: -0.01 KtN$ Current: 9.99 KtN$ @ 54.6% To Win: 18.33 KtN$ -
When will summer Arctic Sea ice coverage drop to less than 3 millions of square kilometers? later or neverBought: 04/06/2025 15:49 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 24.4% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 24.3% To Win: 41.03 KtN$ -
How many of these statements will be true at the end of 2025? SevenBought: 04/06/2025 15:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 13.5% Gain: -0.03 KtN$ Current: 9.97 KtN$ @ 13.5% To Win: 74.59 KtN$ -
Will there be a water-war or a terrorism-attack around GERD Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam? 2026 - 2027Bought: 04/06/2025 00:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.3% Gain: 0.08 KtN$ Current: 10.08 KtN$ @ 9.4% To Win: 108.45 KtN$ -
When will 2km-tall tower in Riyadh be completed? after 2040 or neverBought: 04/05/2025 04:04 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 33.8% Gain: 0.05 KtN$ Current: 10.05 KtN$ @ 33.9% To Win: 29.69 KtN$ -
When will Apple launch a home robot? 2026Bought: 04/04/2025 18:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 26.8% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 26.6% To Win: 37.46 KtN$ -
What will be the age of the President of the USA on the 4th July 2025? Above 80Bought: 04/04/2025 13:01 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 8.9% Gain: -1.02 KtN$ Current: 8.98 KtN$ @ 8.0% To Win: 113.43 KtN$ -
Earthquake Prediction: When will California get again an earthquake > 6.4 Magnitude ? 2024Bought: 04/04/2025 11:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 25.7% Gain: -0.03 KtN$ Current: 9.97 KtN$ @ 25.6% To Win: 39.03 KtN$ -
Will Time Travel be possible before 2030? NoBought: 04/02/2025 09:25 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 91.9% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 91.9% To Win: 10.88 KtN$ -
Will the 'Innocent Victims' statue again be displayed in London during the next 10 years? YesBought: 04/02/2025 09:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 52.5% Gain: -0.03 KtN$ Current: 9.97 KtN$ @ 52.3% To Win: 19.08 KtN$ -
When will US Fed decrease Fed Funds Rate to the range 4.00% - 4.25% or even lower? Q2_2025Bought: 04/01/2025 09:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 17.9% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 17.8% To Win: 56.22 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? NoBought: 03/31/2025 00:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 69.0% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 9.86 KtN$ @ 68.0% To Win: 14.51 KtN$ -
How many of the 2026 Corp.-Knights TOP 100 world's most sustainable companies will be from Denmark? more than 6Bought: 03/29/2025 05:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 29.2% Gain: -1.04 KtN$ Current: 8.96 KtN$ @ 26.1% To Win: 34.37 KtN$ -
Refugees: What's the number of Mediterranean Sea+Land Arrivals in 2025 ? 180.000 to < 200.000Bought: 03/29/2025 04:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 31.6% Gain: 0.06 KtN$ Current: 10.06 KtN$ @ 31.8% To Win: 31.74 KtN$ -
Which is the next of these 11 countries to lose its standard & poors AAA rating ? LuxembourgBought: 03/28/2025 04:35 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 6.7% Gain: 0.23 KtN$ Current: 10.23 KtN$ @ 6.9% To Win: 150.40 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? NoBought: 03/28/2025 04:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 69.1% Gain: -0.16 KtN$ Current: 9.84 KtN$ @ 68.0% To Win: 14.47 KtN$ -
US Fire danger: Will Number of fires and / or Area burned get new annual 10year-highs in 2025? only Area burned @ new highBought: 03/26/2025 21:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 24.1% Gain: -0.11 KtN$ Current: 9.89 KtN$ @ 23.8% To Win: 41.70 KtN$ -
Will 10 Year U.S. Treasury Rate climb again below 5.0 % ? Jan-Jun_2025Bought: 03/26/2025 21:17 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 41.5% Gain: -0.12 KtN$ Current: 9.88 KtN$ @ 41.0% To Win: 24.14 KtN$ -
Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will go up from 2.6 = more stressBought: 03/26/2025 20:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 56.5% Gain: 0.72 KtN$ Current: 10.72 KtN$ @ 60.6% To Win: 17.70 KtN$ -
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2032? YesBought: 03/24/2025 18:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 59.3% Gain: 0.16 KtN$ Current: 10.16 KtN$ @ 60.3% To Win: 16.87 KtN$ -
What time will the Doomsday-Clock (thebulletin.org) show with next update ? 89 seconds or less seconds to midnoghtBought: 03/24/2025 16:17 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 54.4% Gain: -0.03 KtN$ Current: 9.97 KtN$ @ 54.3% To Win: 18.38 KtN$ -
Will Burkina Faso keep first rank in Global Terrorism-Index (GTI) 2025 ? YESBought: 03/24/2025 15:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 49.0% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 49.1% To Win: 20.41 KtN$ -
City Nature Challenge 2025: How may observations will the participants from Berlin report? less than 15.000Bought: 03/24/2025 15:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 28.8% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 28.9% To Win: 34.78 KtN$ -
Will Novak_Đoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? No, he will fall shortBought: 03/24/2025 11:05 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 36.6% Gain: 1.47 KtN$ Current: 11.47 KtN$ @ 42.0% To Win: 27.36 KtN$ -
Corruption Perception Index 2025: Will U.S. improve their 2024 rank-position of 28 to 27 or higher? YES: US will improve their rank-position from 28 to 27 or even higherBought: 03/24/2025 09:16 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 53.0% Gain: -0.16 KtN$ Current: 9.84 KtN$ @ 52.2% To Win: 18.88 KtN$ -
Where will the winner of 2026 FIFA World Cup come from? Other - tournament fails to start, fails to finish etc.Bought: 03/24/2025 08:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 2.8% Gain: 0.24 KtN$ Current: 10.24 KtN$ @ 2.9% To Win: 369.24 KtN$ -
Will Barcelona's Sagrada Familia be officially be completed in (or before) 2026? NoBought: 03/24/2025 08:01 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 33.1% Gain: 0.15 KtN$ Current: 10.15 KtN$ @ 33.6% To Win: 30.29 KtN$ -
Corruption Perception Index 2025: Will U.S. improve their 2024 rank-position of 28 to 27 or higher? NO: United States will stay with rank-position 28 or lowerBought: 03/23/2025 16:53 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 47.0% Gain: 0.17 KtN$ Current: 10.17 KtN$ @ 47.8% To Win: 21.28 KtN$ -
How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2025? 225.000 up to 250.000Bought: 03/23/2025 16:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.6% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.6% To Win: 48.79 KtN$ -
Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will stay at 2.6Bought: 03/23/2025 06:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.2% Gain: 0.10 KtN$ Current: 10.10 KtN$ @ 3.2% To Win: 320.39 KtN$ -
James Bond - Who will be the next? James PurefoyBought: 03/22/2025 19:15 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 1.8% Gain: -0.08 KtN$ Current: 9.92 KtN$ @ 1.8% To Win: 578.82 KtN$ -
What time will the Doomsday-Clock (thebulletin.org) show with next update ? 89 seconds or less seconds to midnoghtBought: 03/22/2025 19:05 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 54.4% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 54.3% To Win: 18.40 KtN$ -
Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life? U.S. - as a free manBought: 03/22/2025 11:28 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 72.9% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 19.98 KtN$ @ 72.9% To Win: 27.45 KtN$ -
When will the Geopolitical Risk Index GPR surpass the 20-year high of 167.34 pts (monthly average)? later or neverBought: 03/22/2025 11:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 39.2% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 39.2% To Win: 25.52 KtN$ -
Will there be a water-war or a terrorism-attack around GERD Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam? 2024 - 2025Bought: 03/22/2025 08:31 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 10.7% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 10.6% To Win: 94.51 KtN$ -
Who will own the North Pole? No countryBought: 03/21/2025 21:17 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 42.9% Gain: -0.11 KtN$ Current: 19.89 KtN$ @ 42.7% To Win: 46.75 KtN$ -
Will Barcelona's Sagrada Familia be officially be completed in (or before) 2026? NoBought: 03/21/2025 20:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 33.0% Gain: 0.17 KtN$ Current: 10.17 KtN$ @ 33.6% To Win: 30.36 KtN$ -
Will the Patriots win another Super Bowl in the next ten years? NoBought: 03/21/2025 16:17 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 76.2% Gain: -0.28 KtN$ Current: 29.72 KtN$ @ 75.5% To Win: 39.40 KtN$ -
When will Austrian 0.85% 100-Year bond (stock symbol A2HLC4) fall below 33%? 2025Bought: 03/21/2025 15:40 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 35.0% Gain: 3.63 KtN$ Current: 23.63 KtN$ @ 41.3% To Win: 57.41 KtN$ -
When will the European Central Bank ECB cut the key-ECB-rate down to 3.5% or even lower? 2024Bought: 03/21/2025 07:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.1% Gain: -0.08 KtN$ Current: 9.92 KtN$ @ 19.0% To Win: 52.51 KtN$ -
What Temperature Anomaly (basis 1961-1990) will Germany get in 2025? >= +2.5°CBought: 03/21/2025 05:18 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 46.3% Gain: 0.03 KtN$ Current: 20.03 KtN$ @ 46.3% To Win: 43.31 KtN$ -
Will 10 Year U.S. Treasury Rate climb again below 5.0 % ? later or neverBought: 03/21/2025 05:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 23.0% Gain: -0.23 KtN$ Current: 9.77 KtN$ @ 22.5% To Win: 43.60 KtN$ -
What's the number of documents listed in google search for language "Esperanto" as of 12/31/2024 ? 2.222.000.000 or even moreBought: 03/20/2025 14:00 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 75.2% Gain: 0.07 KtN$ Current: 30.07 KtN$ @ 75.4% To Win: 39.92 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? NoBought: 03/20/2025 13:30 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 69.0% Gain: -0.44 KtN$ Current: 29.56 KtN$ @ 68.0% To Win: 43.51 KtN$ -
When will the Geopolitical Risk Index GPR surpass the 20-year high of 167.34 pts (monthly average)? later or neverBought: 03/20/2025 12:47 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 39.2% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 19.98 KtN$ @ 39.2% To Win: 51.20 KtN$ -
When will there be a statue of Margaret Thatcher in Parliament Square, London? 2026 to 2030Bought: 03/20/2025 12:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 18.8% Gain: -0.10 KtN$ Current: 9.90 KtN$ @ 18.6% To Win: 53.40 KtN$ -
When will crude oil wti cost more than 140 USD / barrel (former alltime high from June 2008)? later or neverBought: 03/20/2025 04:27 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 17.7% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 17.7% To Win: 56.69 KtN$ -
What will be the age of the President of the USA on the 4th July 2025? 61-70Bought: 03/20/2025 02:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.4% Gain: -0.64 KtN$ Current: 9.36 KtN$ @ 3.2% To Win: 303.51 KtN$ -
Will the Patriots win another Super Bowl in the next ten years? YesBought: 03/20/2025 01:30 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 23.9% Gain: 0.55 KtN$ Current: 20.55 KtN$ @ 24.5% To Win: 84.37 KtN$ -
English Premier League: Which of the ever-present clubs will be the first to leave? ChelseaBought: 03/19/2025 22:56 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 14.4% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 14.3% To Win: 70.02 KtN$ -
How many new Nuclear Power plants will be launched worldwide in 2025 ? even moreBought: 03/19/2025 22:50 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 30.6% Gain: -0.56 KtN$ Current: 19.44 KtN$ @ 29.7% To Win: 65.73 KtN$ -
When will there be a statue of Margaret Thatcher in Parliament Square, London? Not before suspensionBought: 03/19/2025 16:22 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 18.3% Gain: 0.11 KtN$ Current: 20.11 KtN$ @ 18.4% To Win: 110.16 KtN$ -
When will Debit balances in customer securities margin accts jump above alltime high 937,3 bill USD? later or neverBought: 03/19/2025 15:50 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 19.8% Gain: -2.02 KtN$ Current: 17.98 KtN$ @ 17.8% To Win: 101.59 KtN$ -
Will the Number of People leaving the German Catholic Church in 2024 drop below 400.000 ? YesBought: 03/19/2025 09:58 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 51.3% Gain: -0.37 KtN$ Current: 39.63 KtN$ @ 50.8% To Win: 78.32 KtN$ -
When will US Fed decrease Fed Funds Rate to the range 4.00% - 4.25% or even lower? Q3_2025Bought: 03/19/2025 09:20 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 34.5% Gain: 0.27 KtN$ Current: 30.27 KtN$ @ 34.8% To Win: 87.45 KtN$ -
When will world population surpass 8.8 billion people? 2033 - 2037Bought: 03/19/2025 02:50 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 40.7% Gain: -0.21 KtN$ Current: 29.79 KtN$ @ 40.4% To Win: 74.10 KtN$ -
When will PFAS (Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances) be banned globally? later or neverBought: 03/19/2025 02:20 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 25.5% Gain: -0.27 KtN$ Current: 19.73 KtN$ @ 25.1% To Win: 78.97 KtN$ -
What will 2025/2026 season's maximum ice coverage of the 5 Great Lakes be? less than 30%Bought: 03/19/2025 00:11 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 29.6% Gain: -0.58 KtN$ Current: 29.42 KtN$ @ 29.0% To Win: 102.25 KtN$ -
Will Jan-Dec 2025 Temperature Anomaly for Berlin be above 2024 record-high of 1.68° C? NOBought: 03/18/2025 21:10 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 55.1% Gain: 0.03 KtN$ Current: 50.03 KtN$ @ 55.2% To Win: 91.09 KtN$ -
Which Battery-stock will have the best 14 months performance between Aug-1-2024 and Sep-30-2025 ? CN:300750, CATL, Contemporary Amperex Techn.Bought: 03/18/2025 16:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 10.7% Gain: -3.47 KtN$ Current: 6.53 KtN$ @ 7.0% To Win: 94.43 KtN$ -
Will Global Military Expenditures exceed 2.666 Bio US-$ in 2024? NoBought: 03/18/2025 04:41 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 39.5% Gain: -0.46 KtN$ Current: 39.54 KtN$ @ 39.0% To Win: 101.96 KtN$ -
Will Jeremy Corbyn ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (May 10, 2027)Bought: 03/18/2025 03:58 Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @ 64.6% Gain: -0.45 KtN$ Current: 69.55 KtN$ @ 64.2% To Win: 108.75 KtN$ -
Will Jose Mourinho ever coach the Portugal national soccer team? Not before suspension (September 9, 2031)Bought: 03/18/2025 03:50 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 37.5% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 40.02 KtN$ @ 37.5% To Win: 107.52 KtN$ -
What's the number of documents listed in google search for language "Esperanto" as of 12/31/2024 ? 2.222.000.000 or even moreBought: 03/18/2025 00:45 Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @ 75.1% Gain: 0.31 KtN$ Current: 90.31 KtN$ @ 75.4% To Win: 120.12 KtN$ -
When will European Carbon Emission Certificates cost more than 100 EUR / to CO2? Q1-2025Bought: 03/18/2025 00:06 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 10.2% Gain: -0.65 KtN$ Current: 19.35 KtN$ @ 9.9% To Win: 199.51 KtN$ -
Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will stay at 2.6Bought: 03/17/2025 05:12 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.2% Gain: 0.26 KtN$ Current: 10.26 KtN$ @ 3.2% To Win: 325.61 KtN$ -
Duke & Duchess of Cambridge: Will they stop at three children? NoBought: 03/17/2025 03:46 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 41.0% Gain: -0.38 KtN$ Current: 49.62 KtN$ @ 40.7% To Win: 122.80 KtN$ -
When will Global Debt-to-GDP ratio surpass 360% of GDP (weighted avg.) ? in 2023Bought: 03/17/2025 03:10 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 22.2% Gain: -0.68 KtN$ Current: 29.32 KtN$ @ 21.7% To Win: 136.61 KtN$ -
How many Job Openings will Yellowstone Club offer as of Dec 31 2025? 45 up to 54Bought: 03/16/2025 14:12 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 30.1% Gain: -0.64 KtN$ Current: 49.36 KtN$ @ 29.7% To Win: 168.13 KtN$ -
In how many months in 2025 will the CO2 value be below 426 ppm ? in 3 months below 426 ppmBought: 03/16/2025 14:00 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 28.0% Gain: 1.97 KtN$ Current: 41.97 KtN$ @ 29.4% To Win: 144.29 KtN$ -
Egan Bernal has won the 2019 Tour de France. How many more 'Grand Tour' races will he win? FiveBought: 03/14/2025 18:20 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 9.9% Gain: -0.32 KtN$ Current: 19.68 KtN$ @ 9.7% To Win: 206.08 KtN$ -
When will US Fed decrease Fed Funds Rate to the range 4.00% - 4.25% or even lower? Q3_2025Bought: 03/14/2025 09:08 Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @ 34.4% Gain: 0.66 KtN$ Current: 60.66 KtN$ @ 34.8% To Win: 176.22 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? YesBought: 03/14/2025 08:50 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 30.7% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 49.86 KtN$ @ 30.6% To Win: 164.72 KtN$ -
Earthquake Prediction: When will California get again an earthquake > 6.4 Magnitude ? 2026Bought: 03/14/2025 00:05 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 15.8% Gain: -0.90 KtN$ Current: 29.10 KtN$ @ 15.4% To Win: 192.41 KtN$ -
When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2026Bought: 03/13/2025 23:30 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 13.1% Gain: 46.81 KtN$ Current: 76.81 KtN$ @ 33.1% To Win: 233.64 KtN$ -
Will Arctic Sea Ice extent fall below 3.387 million km² at any day in 2025? NOBought: 03/12/2025 03:49 Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @ 61.1% Gain: 4.28 KtN$ Current: 124.28 KtN$ @ 63.2% To Win: 197.71 KtN$ -
Will Putin fire tactical nuclear weapons to Ukraine or one of the Baltic Countries? later or neverBought: 03/12/2025 03:40 Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @ 47.2% Gain: 6.89 KtN$ Current: 106.89 KtN$ @ 50.4% To Win: 214.32 KtN$ -
When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? 2036 to 2045Bought: 03/11/2025 05:02 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 18.8% Gain: -0.20 KtN$ Current: 19.80 KtN$ @ 18.6% To Win: 107.23 KtN$ -
When will the next manned Moon Landing be? 2026Bought: 03/11/2025 04:50 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 25.6% Gain: -0.62 KtN$ Current: 29.38 KtN$ @ 25.1% To Win: 118.00 KtN$ -
Refugees: What's the number of Mediterranean Sea+Land Arrivals in 2025 ? 200.000 to < 220.000Bought: 03/11/2025 04:20 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 27.8% Gain: 0.66 KtN$ Current: 30.66 KtN$ @ 28.4% To Win: 108.68 KtN$ -
What Australian Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025 (base: 1961-1990) ? > +1.5°CBought: 03/10/2025 22:07 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 30.8% Gain: -1.31 KtN$ Current: 28.69 KtN$ @ 29.5% To Win: 97.98 KtN$ -
Egan Bernal has won the 2019 Tour de France. How many more 'Grand Tour' races will he win? ThreeBought: 03/10/2025 21:20 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 12.3% Gain: -0.36 KtN$ Current: 19.64 KtN$ @ 12.1% To Win: 164.52 KtN$ -
Will the Number of People leaving the German Catholic Church in 2024 drop below 400.000 ? NoBought: 03/10/2025 16:16 Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @ 48.2% Gain: 1.33 KtN$ Current: 61.33 KtN$ @ 49.2% To Win: 125.39 KtN$ -
When will US Gross Federal Debt-to-GDP-ratio surpass 150% ? later or neverBought: 03/10/2025 15:30 Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @ 46.4% Gain: -1.21 KtN$ Current: 58.79 KtN$ @ 45.5% To Win: 130.23 KtN$ -
When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? 2046 to 2055Bought: 03/10/2025 13:33 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 27.7% Gain: 0.10 KtN$ Current: 40.10 KtN$ @ 27.7% To Win: 146.07 KtN$ -
Which Battery-stock will have the best 14 months performance between Aug-1-2024 and Sep-30-2025 ? BYDDF, BYDBought: 03/10/2025 10:20 Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @ 53.8% Gain: 16.97 KtN$ Current: 86.97 KtN$ @ 66.7% To Win: 130.86 KtN$ -
Will Adidas renew the FIFA partnership beyond 2030? NoBought: 03/10/2025 01:50 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 22.8% Gain: 0.14 KtN$ Current: 30.14 KtN$ @ 22.9% To Win: 132.84 KtN$ -
Refugees: What's the number of Mediterranean Sea+Land Arrivals in 2025 ? less than 180.000Bought: 03/10/2025 01:23 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 21.3% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 29.86 KtN$ @ 21.2% To Win: 142.61 KtN$ -
When will US Retail Gasoline Price again fall below US$ 3 per gallon? later or neverBought: 03/10/2025 00:55 Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @ 45.9% Gain: 0.67 KtN$ Current: 70.67 KtN$ @ 46.4% To Win: 153.68 KtN$ -
How many Job Openings will Yellowstone Club offer as of Dec 31 2025? 35 up to 44Bought: 03/10/2025 00:26 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 31.2% Gain: -0.56 KtN$ Current: 49.44 KtN$ @ 30.9% To Win: 161.99 KtN$ -
When will European Carbon Emission Certificates cost more than 100 EUR / to CO2? Q1-2025Bought: 03/10/2025 00:20 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 10.0% Gain: -0.34 KtN$ Current: 19.66 KtN$ @ 9.9% To Win: 202.76 KtN$ -
When will Bangladesh win its first Olympic medal? 2040Bought: 03/09/2025 11:28 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 6.6% Gain: -0.22 KtN$ Current: 19.78 KtN$ @ 6.6% To Win: 309.90 KtN$ -
Which is the next of these 11 countries to lose its standard & poors AAA rating ? GermanyBought: 03/09/2025 11:01 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.4% Gain: -0.15 KtN$ Current: 9.85 KtN$ @ 5.3% To Win: 189.84 KtN$ -
When will PFAS (Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances) be banned globally? later or neverBought: 03/08/2025 19:14 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 24.7% Gain: 0.75 KtN$ Current: 40.75 KtN$ @ 25.1% To Win: 164.04 KtN$ -
When will US Published National Debt exceed 43.212.345.678.910 USD? 2031Bought: 03/08/2025 18:58 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 22.4% Gain: 0.74 KtN$ Current: 40.74 KtN$ @ 22.8% To Win: 181.11 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? YesBought: 03/08/2025 18:50 Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @ 30.6% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 60.00 KtN$ @ 30.6% To Win: 198.69 KtN$ -
Will the Patriots win another Super Bowl in the next ten years? YesBought: 03/08/2025 08:00 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 24.0% Gain: 0.89 KtN$ Current: 40.89 KtN$ @ 24.5% To Win: 168.94 KtN$ -
Which of these Pretious Metals Stocks will have best performance between Apr-1-2024 and Sep-30-2025? Franco-Nevada FNVBought: 03/08/2025 03:08 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.3% Gain: 0.19 KtN$ Current: 10.19 KtN$ @ 5.4% To Win: 190.46 KtN$ -
Will 5 Year U.S. Treasury Note Yield FVX fall below 3.75% at any day until end of 2025 ? YesBought: 03/07/2025 16:00 Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @ 52.2% Gain: -1.18 KtN$ Current: 88.82 KtN$ @ 51.5% To Win: 173.95 KtN$ -
What will be the age of the President of the USA on the 4th July 2025? Above 80Bought: 03/07/2025 12:10 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 8.0% Gain: -0.12 KtN$ Current: 19.88 KtN$ @ 8.0% To Win: 254.36 KtN$ -
Will the 'Innocent Victims' statue again be displayed in London during the next 10 years? NoBought: 03/07/2025 08:31 Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @ 47.7% Gain: 0.10 KtN$ Current: 90.10 KtN$ @ 47.7% To Win: 190.70 KtN$ -
Will Iceland keep first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2024 ? NOBought: 03/07/2025 08:00 Payed: 110.00 KtN$ @ 55.3% Gain: -6.07 KtN$ Current: 103.93 KtN$ @ 51.8% To Win: 200.56 KtN$ -
Where will the winner of 2026 FIFA World Cup come from? Africa (CAF)Bought: 03/07/2025 01:18 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.9% Gain: -0.62 KtN$ Current: 9.38 KtN$ @ 3.7% To Win: 262.30 KtN$ -
Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? NoBought: 03/07/2025 01:01 Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @ 34.8% Gain: 0.87 KtN$ Current: 70.87 KtN$ @ 35.2% To Win: 203.79 KtN$ -
Will Burkina Faso keep first rank in Global Terrorism-Index (GTI) 2025 ? NOBought: 03/06/2025 15:46 Payed: 110.00 KtN$ @ 50.1% Gain: 1.85 KtN$ Current: 111.85 KtN$ @ 50.9% To Win: 221.70 KtN$ -
Will Russian Gold Reserves as of Dec 2025 fall below 2.300 tons coming from 2.340 tons Dec 2024? YesBought: 03/06/2025 15:30 Payed: 110.00 KtN$ @ 50.9% Gain: -0.17 KtN$ Current: 109.83 KtN$ @ 50.3% To Win: 218.27 KtN$ -
In what year will Lindsay Hoyle cease to be the Speaker of the UK House of Commons? 2024Bought: 03/06/2025 10:25 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 5.1% Gain: 0.39 KtN$ Current: 20.39 KtN$ @ 5.2% To Win: 404.06 KtN$ -
Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? YesBought: 03/06/2025 09:50 Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @ 25.9% Gain: 2.68 KtN$ Current: 72.68 KtN$ @ 26.9% To Win: 275.30 KtN$ -
After decline due to corona: When will number of air flight passengers climb to a new alltime high? 2024 - corona-cO2-lesson not learnedBought: 03/06/2025 08:13 Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @ 43.9% Gain: -3.87 KtN$ Current: 116.13 KtN$ @ 42.0% To Win: 276.59 KtN$ -
Will Jeremy Corbyn ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (May 10, 2027)Bought: 03/06/2025 07:40 Payed: 180.00 KtN$ @ 65.7% Gain: -3.21 KtN$ Current: 176.79 KtN$ @ 64.2% To Win: 275.37 KtN$ -
When will first humans live on Mars ? 2024 or 2025Bought: 03/05/2025 18:47 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 4.7% Gain: 0.32 KtN$ Current: 20.32 KtN$ @ 4.7% To Win: 447.42 KtN$ -
Will Moody's reinstate the United Kingdom's sovereign debt rating to Aaa before October 2033? YesBought: 03/05/2025 15:55 Payed: 180.00 KtN$ @ 57.3% Gain: -0.58 KtN$ Current: 179.42 KtN$ @ 56.7% To Win: 316.38 KtN$ -
When will US Published National Debt exceed 43.212.345.678.910 USD? 2029Bought: 03/05/2025 15:40 Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @ 23.2% Gain: -1.52 KtN$ Current: 68.48 KtN$ @ 22.7% To Win: 308.82 KtN$ -
When will the next manned Moon Landing be? 2027Bought: 03/05/2025 12:42 Payed: 160.00 KtN$ @ 49.1% Gain: -1.48 KtN$ Current: 158.52 KtN$ @ 48.1% To Win: 329.54 KtN$ -
When will population of Masdar City (located in Emirate Abu Dhabi) exceed 10.000 inhabitants ? 2029 - 2031Bought: 03/05/2025 12:30 Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @ 26.9% Gain: -1.04 KtN$ Current: 88.96 KtN$ @ 26.6% To Win: 342.89 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? YesBought: 03/04/2025 21:57 Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @ 31.4% Gain: 1.82 KtN$ Current: 101.82 KtN$ @ 32.0% To Win: 325.43 KtN$ -
When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? 2036 to 2045Bought: 03/04/2025 15:08 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.0% Gain: -0.18 KtN$ Current: 9.82 KtN$ @ 18.6% To Win: 52.94 KtN$ -
How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2025? less than 200.000Bought: 03/04/2025 14:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.6% Gain: -0.22 KtN$ Current: 9.78 KtN$ @ 19.2% To Win: 51.16 KtN$ -
What Global Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025 (base: 1901-2000) ? between +1.5° and +2°CBought: 03/04/2025 03:27 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 40.0% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 40.0% To Win: 25.06 KtN$ -
Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? YesBought: 03/04/2025 03:02 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 25.5% Gain: 0.57 KtN$ Current: 10.57 KtN$ @ 26.9% To Win: 39.37 KtN$ -
Refugees: What's the number of Mediterranean Sea+Land Arrivals in 2025 ? 220.000 or moreBought: 03/04/2025 03:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.2% Gain: -0.27 KtN$ Current: 9.73 KtN$ @ 18.6% To Win: 52.43 KtN$ -
Will Barcelona's Sagrada Familia be officially be completed in (or before) 2026? YesBought: 03/04/2025 01:15 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 67.3% Gain: -0.25 KtN$ Current: 19.75 KtN$ @ 66.4% To Win: 29.76 KtN$ -
Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will go up from 2.6 = more stressBought: 03/04/2025 00:30 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 56.9% Gain: 1.31 KtN$ Current: 21.31 KtN$ @ 60.6% To Win: 35.21 KtN$ -
Will Sir Keir Starmer ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? YesBought: 03/03/2025 23:00 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 45.1% Gain: -0.48 KtN$ Current: 19.52 KtN$ @ 44.0% To Win: 44.45 KtN$ -
When will Global Debt-to-GDP ratio surpass 360% of GDP (weighted avg.) ? later or neverBought: 03/03/2025 14:28 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.1% Gain: 0.07 KtN$ Current: 10.07 KtN$ @ 20.2% To Win: 49.95 KtN$ -
Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will stay at 2.6Bought: 03/02/2025 09:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.1% Gain: 0.57 KtN$ Current: 10.57 KtN$ @ 3.2% To Win: 335.23 KtN$ -
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2032? NoBought: 03/01/2025 23:57 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 41.2% Gain: -0.35 KtN$ Current: 9.65 KtN$ @ 39.7% To Win: 24.31 KtN$ -
What number of named Pacific Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2025 have? 22 or moreBought: 03/01/2025 23:55 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 31.6% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 31.4% To Win: 31.74 KtN$ -
Will Sir Keir Starmer ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (August 1st, 2040)Bought: 03/01/2025 22:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 55.0% Gain: 0.18 KtN$ Current: 10.18 KtN$ @ 56.0% To Win: 18.20 KtN$ -
Will Tiger Woods win a 16th Master? YesBought: 02/28/2025 16:15 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 69.6% Gain: -0.09 KtN$ Current: 9.91 KtN$ @ 69.0% To Win: 14.37 KtN$ -
When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? 2026Bought: 02/28/2025 15:31 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 35.3% Gain: -0.53 KtN$ Current: 9.47 KtN$ @ 33.4% To Win: 28.42 KtN$ -
When will world population surpass 8.8 billion people? 2023 - 2027Bought: 02/27/2025 18:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.9% Gain: 0.13 KtN$ Current: 10.13 KtN$ @ 4.0% To Win: 262.68 KtN$ -
In how many months in 2025 will the CO2 value be below 426 ppm ? in less than 3 months below 426 ppmBought: 02/27/2025 00:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.7% Gain: -0.20 KtN$ Current: 9.80 KtN$ @ 20.3% To Win: 48.57 KtN$ -
When will Global Debt-to-GDP ratio surpass 360% of GDP (weighted avg.) ? later or neverBought: 02/26/2025 21:07 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.0% Gain: 0.10 KtN$ Current: 10.10 KtN$ @ 20.2% To Win: 50.10 KtN$ -
US Fire danger: Will Number of fires and / or Area burned get new annual 10year-highs in 2025? only No. of fires @ new highBought: 02/26/2025 20:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 26.1% Gain: -0.18 KtN$ Current: 9.82 KtN$ @ 25.6% To Win: 38.44 KtN$ -
When will the United States of America have a president with the letter Z in their surname? 2050sBought: 02/26/2025 12:46 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.3% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.3% To Win: 108.31 KtN$ -
James Bond - Who will be the next? Idris ElbaBought: 02/26/2025 12:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 25.3% Gain: -0.11 KtN$ Current: 9.89 KtN$ @ 25.1% To Win: 39.60 KtN$ -
Will Burkina Faso keep first rank in Global Terrorism-Index (GTI) 2025 ? NOBought: 02/26/2025 11:54 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.8% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 50.9% To Win: 19.70 KtN$ -
Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? NoBought: 02/26/2025 11:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 74.9% Gain: -0.24 KtN$ Current: 9.76 KtN$ @ 73.1% To Win: 13.36 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? NoBought: 02/25/2025 17:05 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 70.1% Gain: -0.10 KtN$ Current: 9.90 KtN$ @ 69.4% To Win: 14.28 KtN$ -
Bill Gates claims there will be no poor countries by 2035, right? YesBought: 02/25/2025 16:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 11.5% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 11.5% To Win: 87.75 KtN$ -
Will an asteroid be brought to earth for mining of precious metals before Year 2035 ? YesBought: 02/25/2025 15:28 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 51.7% Gain: -0.08 KtN$ Current: 9.92 KtN$ @ 51.3% To Win: 19.34 KtN$ -
Will 5 Year U.S. Treasury Note Yield FVX fall below 3.75% at any day until end of 2025 ? NoBought: 02/25/2025 12:43 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 49.3% Gain: -0.15 KtN$ Current: 9.85 KtN$ @ 48.5% To Win: 20.31 KtN$ -
Will the Number of People leaving the German Catholic Church in 2024 drop below 400.000 ? YesBought: 02/25/2025 12:08 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.6% Gain: 0.03 KtN$ Current: 10.03 KtN$ @ 50.8% To Win: 19.78 KtN$ -
Will Moody's reinstate the United Kingdom's sovereign debt rating to Aaa before October 2033? YesBought: 02/25/2025 12:01 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 56.8% Gain: -0.01 KtN$ Current: 9.99 KtN$ @ 56.7% To Win: 17.62 KtN$ -
Estimate the life expectancy of Donald Trump: What age will he reach ? 92 years or even moreBought: 02/25/2025 11:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 8.0% Gain: 0.75 KtN$ Current: 10.75 KtN$ @ 8.6% To Win: 125.81 KtN$ -
When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? later or neverBought: 02/25/2025 11:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 27.3% Gain: 2.94 KtN$ Current: 12.94 KtN$ @ 35.3% To Win: 36.68 KtN$ -
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2032? NoBought: 02/25/2025 07:49 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 41.3% Gain: -0.39 KtN$ Current: 9.61 KtN$ @ 39.7% To Win: 24.22 KtN$ -
Will Nigel Farage ever win a seat in the United Kingdom Parliament? YesBought: 02/25/2025 07:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 39.9% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 40.0% To Win: 25.09 KtN$ -
When will the European Central Bank ECB cut the key-ECB-rate down to 3.5% or even lower? 2025Bought: 02/24/2025 14:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 36.4% Gain: 0.40 KtN$ Current: 10.40 KtN$ @ 37.9% To Win: 27.52 KtN$ -
How many United Kingdom teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ThreeBought: 02/24/2025 07:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 27.3% Gain: -0.07 KtN$ Current: 9.93 KtN$ @ 27.1% To Win: 36.77 KtN$ -
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2027? NoBought: 02/22/2025 20:31 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 34.6% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 9.86 KtN$ @ 34.1% To Win: 28.96 KtN$ -
When will the next manned Moon Landing be? later than 2028 or neverBought: 02/22/2025 15:01 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.7% Gain: 0.32 KtN$ Current: 10.32 KtN$ @ 4.8% To Win: 218.46 KtN$ -
When will European Carbon Emission Certificates cost more than 100 EUR / to CO2? Q3-2025Bought: 02/22/2025 14:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.9% Gain: 0.25 KtN$ Current: 10.25 KtN$ @ 20.4% To Win: 50.36 KtN$ -
Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2025 sink below 2024 value? yesBought: 02/22/2025 02:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 45.3% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 45.4% To Win: 22.11 KtN$ -
What's the number of documents listed in google search for language "Esperanto" as of 12/31/2024 ? 2.222.000.000 or even moreBought: 02/21/2025 22:26 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 74.3% Gain: 0.30 KtN$ Current: 20.30 KtN$ @ 75.4% To Win: 26.94 KtN$ -
When will a Hyperloop officially be launched ? 2027 - 2028Bought: 02/21/2025 22:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 10.8% Gain: 0.25 KtN$ Current: 10.25 KtN$ @ 11.1% To Win: 93.00 KtN$ -
How many Job Openings will Yellowstone Club offer as of Dec 31 2025? 55 or even moreBought: 02/21/2025 18:47 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.4% Gain: -0.18 KtN$ Current: 9.82 KtN$ @ 19.1% To Win: 51.72 KtN$ -
Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? YesBought: 02/21/2025 18:37 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 66.7% Gain: -0.58 KtN$ Current: 19.42 KtN$ @ 64.8% To Win: 30.01 KtN$ -
When will the United States of America have a president with the letter Z in their surname? 2090sBought: 02/21/2025 18:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.8% Gain: -0.01 KtN$ Current: 9.99 KtN$ @ 5.8% To Win: 176.01 KtN$ -
When will the Geopolitical Risk Index GPR surpass the 20-year high of 167.34 pts (monthly average)? later or neverBought: 02/21/2025 02:45 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 24.0% Gain: 6.30 KtN$ Current: 16.30 KtN$ @ 39.2% To Win: 41.71 KtN$ -
Will Bitcoin-Price climb above USD 123.456 (closing coindesk) at any day until end 2025 ? YesBought: 02/21/2025 02:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 48.9% Gain: 1.90 KtN$ Current: 11.90 KtN$ @ 58.2% To Win: 20.46 KtN$ -
What number of named Pacific Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2025 have? 18 to 21Bought: 02/20/2025 18:43 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 38.7% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 38.8% To Win: 25.90 KtN$ -
Which Battery-stock will have the best 14 months performance between Aug-1-2024 and Sep-30-2025 ? PCRHY, Panasonic HoldingsBought: 02/20/2025 03:16 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 23.6% Gain: -4.59 KtN$ Current: 5.41 KtN$ @ 12.8% To Win: 42.46 KtN$ -
Will Putin fire tactical nuclear weapons to Ukraine or one of the Baltic Countries? yes, in 2024Bought: 02/20/2025 03:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 2.4% Gain: -2.64 KtN$ Current: 7.36 KtN$ @ 1.8% To Win: 432.24 KtN$ -
What FOMC's target rate (BPS) will US FED Funds get in DEC 10 2025 Meeting? 325 - 350Bought: 02/20/2025 02:46 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 16.7% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 9.86 KtN$ @ 16.5% To Win: 60.15 KtN$ -
What will be the Sunspot Number (Average Jan-Dec) for 2025 ? less than 139.9 sunspotsBought: 02/20/2025 02:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.5% Gain: -0.10 KtN$ Current: 9.90 KtN$ @ 19.3% To Win: 51.40 KtN$ -
In how many months in 2025 will the CO2 value be below 426 ppm ? in less than 3 months below 426 ppmBought: 02/19/2025 23:58 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.6% Gain: -0.19 KtN$ Current: 9.81 KtN$ @ 20.3% To Win: 48.63 KtN$ -
When will US Retail Gasoline Price again fall below US$ 3 per gallon? 2025Bought: 02/19/2025 23:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 25.5% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 25.6% To Win: 39.27 KtN$ -
Which of these Pretious Metals Stocks will have best performance between Apr-1-2024 and Sep-30-2025? Franco-Nevada FNVBought: 02/18/2025 04:29 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.9% Gain: 1.10 KtN$ Current: 11.10 KtN$ @ 5.4% To Win: 207.33 KtN$ -
When will a Hyperloop officially be launched ? 2023 - 2024Bought: 02/18/2025 04:12 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.8% Gain: 1.87 KtN$ Current: 11.87 KtN$ @ 5.7% To Win: 212.96 KtN$ -
When will the United States of America have a president with the letter Z in their surname? 2070sBought: 02/18/2025 01:39 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.2% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 5.2% To Win: 195.97 KtN$ -
Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? YesBought: 02/18/2025 01:15 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 25.5% Gain: 0.55 KtN$ Current: 10.55 KtN$ @ 26.9% To Win: 39.30 KtN$ -
Will Nigel Farage ever win a seat in the United Kingdom Parliament? Not before suspension (April 3, 2053)Bought: 02/18/2025 01:10 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 60.3% Gain: -0.09 KtN$ Current: 19.91 KtN$ @ 60.0% To Win: 33.21 KtN$
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