User Profile
firedoglake
Member since 12/10/2010
All time highest net worth: 123,677.81 KtN$ (reached: 12/31/2024)
Current net worth : 120,343.13 KtN$
Predictions : 33,664
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In what year will Lindsay Hoyle cease to be the Speaker of the UK House of Commons? 2024Bought: 03/06/2025 10:25 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 5.1% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 20.00 KtN$ @ 5.1% To Win: 404.06 KtN$ -
Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? YesBought: 03/06/2025 09:50 Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @ 25.9% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 70.00 KtN$ @ 25.9% To Win: 275.30 KtN$ -
After decline due to corona: When will number of air flight passengers climb to a new alltime high? 2024 - corona-cO2-lesson not learnedBought: 03/06/2025 08:13 Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @ 43.9% Gain: 1.55 KtN$ Current: 121.55 KtN$ @ 43.9% To Win: 276.59 KtN$ -
Will Jeremy Corbyn ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (May 10, 2027)Bought: 03/06/2025 07:40 Payed: 180.00 KtN$ @ 65.7% Gain: 0.95 KtN$ Current: 180.95 KtN$ @ 65.7% To Win: 275.37 KtN$ -
When will first humans live on Mars ? 2024 or 2025Bought: 03/05/2025 18:47 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 4.7% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 20.00 KtN$ @ 4.7% To Win: 447.42 KtN$ -
Will Moody's reinstate the United Kingdom's sovereign debt rating to Aaa before October 2033? YesBought: 03/05/2025 15:55 Payed: 180.00 KtN$ @ 57.3% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 180.00 KtN$ @ 57.3% To Win: 316.38 KtN$ -
When will US Published National Debt exceed 43.212.345.678.910 USD? 2029Bought: 03/05/2025 15:40 Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @ 23.2% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 70.00 KtN$ @ 23.2% To Win: 308.82 KtN$ -
When will the next manned Moon Landing be? 2027Bought: 03/05/2025 12:42 Payed: 160.00 KtN$ @ 49.1% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 160.00 KtN$ @ 49.1% To Win: 329.54 KtN$ -
When will population of Masdar City (located in Emirate Abu Dhabi) exceed 10.000 inhabitants ? 2029 - 2031Bought: 03/05/2025 12:30 Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @ 26.9% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 90.00 KtN$ @ 26.9% To Win: 342.89 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? YesBought: 03/04/2025 21:57 Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @ 31.4% Gain: -1.57 KtN$ Current: 98.43 KtN$ @ 30.9% To Win: 325.43 KtN$ -
When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? 2036 to 2045Bought: 03/04/2025 15:08 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.0% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 9.86 KtN$ @ 18.7% To Win: 52.94 KtN$ -
How many worldwide fatalities due to ACLED Armed Conflict Location & Event Data will occur in 2025? less than 200.000Bought: 03/04/2025 14:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.6% Gain: -0.03 KtN$ Current: 9.97 KtN$ @ 19.6% To Win: 51.16 KtN$ -
What Global Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025 (base: 1901-2000) ? between +1.5° and +2°CBought: 03/04/2025 03:27 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 40.0% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 40.0% To Win: 25.06 KtN$ -
Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? YesBought: 03/04/2025 03:02 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 25.5% Gain: 0.18 KtN$ Current: 10.18 KtN$ @ 25.9% To Win: 39.37 KtN$ -
Refugees: What's the number of Mediterranean Sea+Land Arrivals in 2025 ? 220.000 or moreBought: 03/04/2025 03:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.2% Gain: -0.08 KtN$ Current: 9.92 KtN$ @ 19.0% To Win: 52.43 KtN$ -
Will Barcelona's Sagrada Familia be officially be completed in (or before) 2026? YesBought: 03/04/2025 01:15 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 67.3% Gain: -0.16 KtN$ Current: 19.84 KtN$ @ 66.7% To Win: 29.76 KtN$ -
Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will go up from 2.6 = more stressBought: 03/04/2025 00:30 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 56.9% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 20.00 KtN$ @ 56.9% To Win: 35.21 KtN$ -
Will Sir Keir Starmer ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? YesBought: 03/03/2025 23:00 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 45.1% Gain: -0.43 KtN$ Current: 19.57 KtN$ @ 44.1% To Win: 44.45 KtN$ -
When will Global Debt-to-GDP ratio surpass 360% of GDP (weighted avg.) ? later or neverBought: 03/03/2025 14:28 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.1% Gain: -0.03 KtN$ Current: 9.97 KtN$ @ 20.0% To Win: 49.95 KtN$ -
Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will stay at 2.6Bought: 03/02/2025 09:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.1% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 3.1% To Win: 335.23 KtN$ -
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2032? NoBought: 03/01/2025 23:57 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 41.2% Gain: -0.08 KtN$ Current: 9.92 KtN$ @ 40.8% To Win: 24.31 KtN$ -
What number of named Pacific Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2025 have? 22 or moreBought: 03/01/2025 23:55 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 31.6% Gain: -0.17 KtN$ Current: 9.83 KtN$ @ 31.0% To Win: 31.74 KtN$ -
Will Sir Keir Starmer ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (August 1st, 2040)Bought: 03/01/2025 22:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 55.0% Gain: 0.16 KtN$ Current: 10.16 KtN$ @ 55.9% To Win: 18.20 KtN$ -
Will Tiger Woods win a 16th Master? YesBought: 02/28/2025 16:15 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 69.6% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 69.6% To Win: 14.37 KtN$ -
When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? 2026Bought: 02/28/2025 15:31 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 35.3% Gain: -0.94 KtN$ Current: 9.06 KtN$ @ 32.0% To Win: 28.42 KtN$ -
When will world population surpass 8.8 billion people? 2023 - 2027Bought: 02/27/2025 18:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.9% Gain: 0.23 KtN$ Current: 10.23 KtN$ @ 4.0% To Win: 262.68 KtN$ -
In how many months in 2025 will the CO2 value be below 426 ppm ? in less than 3 months below 426 ppmBought: 02/27/2025 00:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.7% Gain: 0.24 KtN$ Current: 10.24 KtN$ @ 21.2% To Win: 48.57 KtN$ -
When will Global Debt-to-GDP ratio surpass 360% of GDP (weighted avg.) ? later or neverBought: 02/26/2025 21:07 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.0% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.0% To Win: 50.10 KtN$ -
US Fire danger: Will Number of fires and / or Area burned get new annual 10year-highs in 2025? only No. of fires @ new highBought: 02/26/2025 20:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 26.1% Gain: -0.12 KtN$ Current: 9.88 KtN$ @ 25.8% To Win: 38.44 KtN$ -
When will the United States of America have a president with the letter Z in their surname? 2050sBought: 02/26/2025 12:46 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.3% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.3% To Win: 108.31 KtN$ -
James Bond - Who will be the next? Idris ElbaBought: 02/26/2025 12:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 25.3% Gain: -0.03 KtN$ Current: 9.97 KtN$ @ 25.3% To Win: 39.60 KtN$ -
Will Burkina Faso keep first rank in Global Terrorism-Index (GTI) 2025 ? NOBought: 02/26/2025 11:54 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.8% Gain: -0.25 KtN$ Current: 9.75 KtN$ @ 49.6% To Win: 19.70 KtN$ -
Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? NoBought: 02/26/2025 11:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 74.9% Gain: -0.11 KtN$ Current: 9.89 KtN$ @ 74.1% To Win: 13.36 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? NoBought: 02/25/2025 17:05 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 70.1% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 69.8% To Win: 14.28 KtN$ -
Bill Gates claims there will be no poor countries by 2035, right? YesBought: 02/25/2025 16:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 11.5% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 11.5% To Win: 87.75 KtN$ -
Will an asteroid be brought to earth for mining of precious metals before Year 2035 ? YesBought: 02/25/2025 15:28 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 51.7% Gain: 0.19 KtN$ Current: 10.19 KtN$ @ 52.8% To Win: 19.34 KtN$ -
Will 5 Year U.S. Treasury Note Yield FVX fall below 3.75% at any day until end of 2025 ? NoBought: 02/25/2025 12:43 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 49.3% Gain: -0.11 KtN$ Current: 9.89 KtN$ @ 48.7% To Win: 20.31 KtN$ -
Will the Number of People leaving the German Catholic Church in 2024 drop below 400.000 ? YesBought: 02/25/2025 12:08 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 50.6% Gain: 0.24 KtN$ Current: 10.24 KtN$ @ 51.8% To Win: 19.78 KtN$ -
Will Moody's reinstate the United Kingdom's sovereign debt rating to Aaa before October 2033? YesBought: 02/25/2025 12:01 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 56.8% Gain: 0.10 KtN$ Current: 10.10 KtN$ @ 57.3% To Win: 17.62 KtN$ -
Estimate the life expectancy of Donald Trump: What age will he reach ? 92 years or even moreBought: 02/25/2025 11:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 8.0% Gain: 0.00 KtN$ Current: 10.00 KtN$ @ 8.0% To Win: 125.81 KtN$ -
When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? later or neverBought: 02/25/2025 11:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 27.3% Gain: 2.78 KtN$ Current: 12.78 KtN$ @ 34.9% To Win: 36.68 KtN$ -
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2032? NoBought: 02/25/2025 07:49 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 41.3% Gain: -0.12 KtN$ Current: 9.88 KtN$ @ 40.8% To Win: 24.22 KtN$ -
Will Nigel Farage ever win a seat in the United Kingdom Parliament? YesBought: 02/25/2025 07:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 39.9% Gain: 0.09 KtN$ Current: 10.09 KtN$ @ 40.3% To Win: 25.09 KtN$ -
When will the European Central Bank ECB cut the key-ECB-rate down to 3.5% or even lower? 2025Bought: 02/24/2025 14:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 36.4% Gain: 0.08 KtN$ Current: 10.08 KtN$ @ 36.7% To Win: 27.52 KtN$ -
How many United Kingdom teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ThreeBought: 02/24/2025 07:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 27.3% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 27.3% To Win: 36.77 KtN$ -
Will Emmerson Mnangagwa be President of Zimbabwe on 24th November 2027? NoBought: 02/22/2025 20:31 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 34.6% Gain: -0.23 KtN$ Current: 9.77 KtN$ @ 33.8% To Win: 28.96 KtN$ -
When will the next manned Moon Landing be? later than 2028 or neverBought: 02/22/2025 15:01 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.7% Gain: -0.23 KtN$ Current: 9.77 KtN$ @ 4.6% To Win: 218.46 KtN$ -
When will European Carbon Emission Certificates cost more than 100 EUR / to CO2? Q3-2025Bought: 02/22/2025 14:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.9% Gain: 0.41 KtN$ Current: 10.41 KtN$ @ 20.7% To Win: 50.36 KtN$ -
Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2025 sink below 2024 value? yesBought: 02/22/2025 02:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 45.3% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 45.4% To Win: 22.11 KtN$ -
What's the number of documents listed in google search for language "Esperanto" as of 12/31/2024 ? 2.222.000.000 or even moreBought: 02/21/2025 22:26 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 74.3% Gain: -0.16 KtN$ Current: 19.84 KtN$ @ 73.7% To Win: 26.94 KtN$ -
When will a Hyperloop officially be launched ? 2027 - 2028Bought: 02/21/2025 22:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 10.8% Gain: 0.02 KtN$ Current: 10.02 KtN$ @ 10.9% To Win: 93.00 KtN$ -
How many Job Openings will Yellowstone Club offer as of Dec 31 2025? 55 or even moreBought: 02/21/2025 18:47 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.4% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 19.3% To Win: 51.72 KtN$ -
Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? YesBought: 02/21/2025 18:37 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 66.7% Gain: -0.32 KtN$ Current: 19.68 KtN$ @ 65.7% To Win: 30.01 KtN$ -
When will the United States of America have a president with the letter Z in their surname? 2090sBought: 02/21/2025 18:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.8% Gain: -0.01 KtN$ Current: 9.99 KtN$ @ 5.8% To Win: 176.01 KtN$ -
When will the Geopolitical Risk Index GPR surpass the 20-year high of 167.34 pts (monthly average)? later or neverBought: 02/21/2025 02:45 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 24.0% Gain: 0.65 KtN$ Current: 10.65 KtN$ @ 25.6% To Win: 41.71 KtN$ -
Will Bitcoin-Price climb above USD 123.456 (closing coindesk) at any day until end 2025 ? YesBought: 02/21/2025 02:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 48.9% Gain: 3.15 KtN$ Current: 13.15 KtN$ @ 64.3% To Win: 20.46 KtN$ -
What number of named Pacific Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2025 have? 18 to 21Bought: 02/20/2025 18:43 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 38.7% Gain: 0.28 KtN$ Current: 10.28 KtN$ @ 39.8% To Win: 25.90 KtN$ -
Which Battery-stock will have the best 14 months performance between Aug-1-2024 and Sep-30-2025 ? PCRHY, Panasonic HoldingsBought: 02/20/2025 03:16 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 23.6% Gain: -1.64 KtN$ Current: 8.36 KtN$ @ 19.8% To Win: 42.46 KtN$ -
Will Putin fire tactical nuclear weapons to Ukraine or one of the Baltic Countries? yes, in 2024Bought: 02/20/2025 03:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 2.4% Gain: -1.15 KtN$ Current: 8.85 KtN$ @ 2.1% To Win: 432.24 KtN$ -
What FOMC's target rate (BPS) will US FED Funds get in DEC 10 2025 Meeting? 325 - 350Bought: 02/20/2025 02:46 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 16.7% Gain: -0.07 KtN$ Current: 9.93 KtN$ @ 16.6% To Win: 60.15 KtN$ -
What will be the Sunspot Number (Average Jan-Dec) for 2025 ? less than 139.9 sunspotsBought: 02/20/2025 02:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 19.5% Gain: -0.07 KtN$ Current: 9.93 KtN$ @ 19.4% To Win: 51.40 KtN$ -
In how many months in 2025 will the CO2 value be below 426 ppm ? in less than 3 months below 426 ppmBought: 02/19/2025 23:58 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 20.6% Gain: 0.25 KtN$ Current: 10.25 KtN$ @ 21.2% To Win: 48.63 KtN$ -
When will US Retail Gasoline Price again fall below US$ 3 per gallon? 2025Bought: 02/19/2025 23:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 25.5% Gain: -0.10 KtN$ Current: 9.90 KtN$ @ 25.3% To Win: 39.27 KtN$ -
Which of these Pretious Metals Stocks will have best performance between Apr-1-2024 and Sep-30-2025? Franco-Nevada FNVBought: 02/18/2025 04:29 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.9% Gain: 0.69 KtN$ Current: 10.69 KtN$ @ 5.3% To Win: 207.33 KtN$ -
When will a Hyperloop officially be launched ? 2023 - 2024Bought: 02/18/2025 04:12 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 4.8% Gain: 1.07 KtN$ Current: 11.07 KtN$ @ 5.3% To Win: 212.96 KtN$ -
When will the United States of America have a president with the letter Z in their surname? 2070sBought: 02/18/2025 01:39 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.2% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 5.2% To Win: 195.97 KtN$ -
Richard Carapaz won the 2019 Giro d'Italia cycle race. Will he ever win another 'Grand Tour' race? YesBought: 02/18/2025 01:15 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 25.5% Gain: 0.17 KtN$ Current: 10.17 KtN$ @ 25.9% To Win: 39.30 KtN$ -
Will Nigel Farage ever win a seat in the United Kingdom Parliament? Not before suspension (April 3, 2053)Bought: 02/18/2025 01:10 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 60.3% Gain: -0.20 KtN$ Current: 19.80 KtN$ @ 59.7% To Win: 33.21 KtN$ -
What Global Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025 (base: 1901-2000) ? > +2°C (base 1901-2000)Bought: 02/17/2025 19:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 30.9% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 9.98 KtN$ @ 30.9% To Win: 32.40 KtN$ -
After recent bull run: What will happen next to NRGV Energy Vault stock-price? closing-quote for NRGV is climbing above 2.7 US-$Bought: 02/16/2025 23:40 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 46.4% Gain: -0.02 KtN$ Current: 19.98 KtN$ @ 46.3% To Win: 43.24 KtN$ -
How many new Nuclear Power plants will be launched worldwide in 2025 ? up to 7Bought: 02/16/2025 23:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 31.9% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 31.7% To Win: 31.37 KtN$ -
Which of these Pretious Metals Stocks will have best performance between Apr-1-2024 and Sep-30-2025? Wheaton Pretious Metals WPMBought: 02/16/2025 08:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 28.8% Gain: -0.11 KtN$ Current: 9.89 KtN$ @ 28.5% To Win: 34.82 KtN$ -
Which stock will have the best 14 months performance between July-1-2024 and Aug-31-2025 ? NOVA SunnovaBought: 02/16/2025 04:56 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 11.0% Gain: -0.15 KtN$ Current: 9.85 KtN$ @ 10.9% To Win: 91.31 KtN$ -
After new alltime high above 21.100: what will happen next to NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) stock market Index? closing-quote for ^NDX is falling below 19.000 pointsBought: 02/16/2025 02:38 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 55.3% Gain: -0.24 KtN$ Current: 19.76 KtN$ @ 54.6% To Win: 36.25 KtN$ -
Will the USA ever buy Greenland? Yes, but only some of itBought: 02/16/2025 02:10 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 31.0% Gain: 0.10 KtN$ Current: 20.10 KtN$ @ 31.2% To Win: 64.72 KtN$ -
After recent bull run: What will happen next to NRGV Energy Vault stock-price? NRGV will stay in range 1.3 - 2.7 US-$ until suspension dateBought: 02/15/2025 20:42 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 8.8% Gain: -0.03 KtN$ Current: 9.97 KtN$ @ 8.8% To Win: 114.18 KtN$ -
Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? YesBought: 02/15/2025 20:20 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 66.2% Gain: -0.26 KtN$ Current: 29.74 KtN$ @ 65.7% To Win: 45.37 KtN$ -
Will Moody's reinstate the United Kingdom's sovereign debt rating to Aaa before October 2033? YesBought: 02/15/2025 15:45 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 55.9% Gain: 0.77 KtN$ Current: 30.77 KtN$ @ 57.3% To Win: 53.80 KtN$ -
English Premier League: Which of the ever-present clubs will be the first to leave? Manchester UnitedBought: 02/15/2025 15:19 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 12.3% Gain: -0.16 KtN$ Current: 9.84 KtN$ @ 12.1% To Win: 82.01 KtN$ -
Will Niger keep its bad Water-Risc-Score of 5 in Ecological Threat Report 2025 ? NOBought: 02/15/2025 15:10 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 46.9% Gain: -0.13 KtN$ Current: 29.87 KtN$ @ 46.7% To Win: 64.18 KtN$ -
Which Battery-stock will have the best 14 months performance between Aug-1-2024 and Sep-30-2025 ? SLDP, Solid PowerBought: 02/15/2025 13:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 13.4% Gain: -2.33 KtN$ Current: 7.67 KtN$ @ 10.3% To Win: 75.09 KtN$ -
Will Jose Mourinho ever coach the Portugal national soccer team? Not before suspension (September 9, 2031)Bought: 02/15/2025 10:50 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 35.1% Gain: 0.87 KtN$ Current: 20.87 KtN$ @ 36.6% To Win: 57.23 KtN$ -
Will Jeremy Corbyn ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (May 10, 2027)Bought: 02/15/2025 06:54 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 64.7% Gain: 0.63 KtN$ Current: 40.63 KtN$ @ 65.7% To Win: 61.96 KtN$ -
Will Nigel Farage ever win a seat in the United Kingdom Parliament? YesBought: 02/15/2025 06:11 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 40.6% Gain: -0.23 KtN$ Current: 29.77 KtN$ @ 40.3% To Win: 74.27 KtN$ -
Where will the winner of 2026 FIFA World Cup come from? Oceania (OPC)Bought: 02/15/2025 06:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.2% Gain: -0.23 KtN$ Current: 9.77 KtN$ @ 3.1% To Win: 322.86 KtN$ -
Will Sir Keir Starmer ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? YesBought: 02/15/2025 04:51 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 44.9% Gain: -0.53 KtN$ Current: 29.47 KtN$ @ 44.1% To Win: 67.01 KtN$ -
What FOMC's target rate (BPS) will US FED Funds get in DEC 10 2025 Meeting? 275 - 300Bought: 02/15/2025 04:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 2.1% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 9.86 KtN$ @ 2.0% To Win: 511.89 KtN$ -
Will an asteroid be brought to earth for mining of precious metals before Year 2035 ? YesBought: 02/15/2025 03:58 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 50.3% Gain: 1.97 KtN$ Current: 41.97 KtN$ @ 52.8% To Win: 79.79 KtN$ -
Which of these 10 forecasts for Gold US-$ / troy ounce will be achieved closest at the end of 2025 ? 2.924 $ > https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/futures/GCZ25Bought: 02/15/2025 03:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 6.3% Gain: 0.26 KtN$ Current: 10.26 KtN$ @ 6.5% To Win: 159.95 KtN$ -
Duke & Duchess of Cambridge: Will they stop at three children? YesBought: 02/15/2025 00:53 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 60.4% Gain: -1.18 KtN$ Current: 48.82 KtN$ @ 59.0% To Win: 83.01 KtN$ -
Will Time Travel be possible before 2030? NoBought: 02/15/2025 00:20 Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @ 91.9% Gain: 0.40 KtN$ Current: 80.40 KtN$ @ 92.3% To Win: 87.12 KtN$ -
Will there be a water-war or a terrorism-attack around GERD Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam? later or neverBought: 02/14/2025 18:13 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 40.6% Gain: -0.24 KtN$ Current: 39.76 KtN$ @ 40.4% To Win: 99.02 KtN$ -
What's the number of documents listed in google search for language "Esperanto" as of 12/31/2024 ? 2.060.000.000 up to 2.222.000.000Bought: 02/14/2025 17:40 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 16.5% Gain: 0.45 KtN$ Current: 20.45 KtN$ @ 16.8% To Win: 122.60 KtN$ -
What Annual Increase (ppb) in Globally-Averaged Atmospheric CH4 (Methane) will we get for 2024? 2024 below 5 ppbBought: 02/14/2025 16:02 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 21.6% Gain: -0.12 KtN$ Current: 19.88 KtN$ @ 21.5% To Win: 93.18 KtN$ -
Gateway to Hell: When will Siberian Batagaika Crater Area surpass 1km² ? 2024 - 2025Bought: 02/14/2025 09:10 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 15.1% Gain: -1.96 KtN$ Current: 18.04 KtN$ @ 13.7% To Win: 133.65 KtN$ -
Will Sir Keir Starmer ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (August 1st, 2040)Bought: 02/14/2025 04:48 Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @ 55.2% Gain: 0.70 KtN$ Current: 60.70 KtN$ @ 55.9% To Win: 109.17 KtN$ -
Where will Germany's new nuclear waste site be? Mecklenburg-VorpommernBought: 02/14/2025 04:30 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 10.5% Gain: -0.16 KtN$ Current: 19.84 KtN$ @ 10.4% To Win: 193.74 KtN$ -
Will Novak_Đoković overtake Jimmy Connors` record of 109 tournament wins? No, he will fall shortBought: 02/14/2025 02:48 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 38.1% Gain: 0.25 KtN$ Current: 50.25 KtN$ @ 38.3% To Win: 132.37 KtN$ -
Will Kim Yo Jong become leader of North Korea? YesBought: 02/14/2025 02:30 Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @ 70.3% Gain: 0.60 KtN$ Current: 90.60 KtN$ @ 70.8% To Win: 128.50 KtN$ -
When will European Carbon Emission Certificates cost more than 100 EUR / to CO2? later or neverBought: 02/13/2025 22:30 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 30.3% Gain: -1.08 KtN$ Current: 48.92 KtN$ @ 29.7% To Win: 166.84 KtN$ -
Will Jeremy Corbyn ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? YesBought: 02/13/2025 15:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 35.6% Gain: -0.37 KtN$ Current: 9.63 KtN$ @ 34.3% To Win: 28.15 KtN$ -
Will Iceland keep first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2024 ? NOBought: 02/12/2025 03:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 54.3% Gain: 0.10 KtN$ Current: 10.10 KtN$ @ 54.8% To Win: 18.45 KtN$ -
When will Global Debt-to-GDP ratio surpass 360% of GDP (weighted avg.) ? in 2023Bought: 02/11/2025 07:05 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 22.3% Gain: 0.21 KtN$ Current: 10.21 KtN$ @ 22.7% To Win: 45.05 KtN$ -
What number of Atlantic Tropical Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2025 have? 19 or lessBought: 02/11/2025 06:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 30.0% Gain: 0.11 KtN$ Current: 10.11 KtN$ @ 30.3% To Win: 33.44 KtN$ -
Where will the winner of 2026 FIFA World Cup come from? Africa (CAF)Bought: 02/10/2025 06:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 3.9% Gain: -0.24 KtN$ Current: 9.76 KtN$ @ 3.8% To Win: 262.60 KtN$ -
After recent bull run: What will happen next to NRGV Energy Vault stock-price? closing-quote for NRGV is falling below 1.3 US-$Bought: 02/10/2025 04:26 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 42.4% Gain: -0.04 KtN$ Current: 9.96 KtN$ @ 42.2% To Win: 23.63 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? NoBought: 02/10/2025 03:48 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 68.7% Gain: 0.10 KtN$ Current: 20.10 KtN$ @ 69.1% To Win: 29.13 KtN$ -
What's the number of documents listed in google search for language "Esperanto" as of 12/31/2024 ? 2.060.000.000 up to 2.222.000.000Bought: 02/09/2025 19:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 16.2% Gain: 0.42 KtN$ Current: 10.42 KtN$ @ 16.8% To Win: 62.13 KtN$ -
When will summer Arctic Sea ice coverage drop to less than 3 millions of square kilometers? Summer 2025Bought: 02/09/2025 04:25 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.1% Gain: -0.15 KtN$ Current: 9.85 KtN$ @ 5.0% To Win: 201.30 KtN$ -
How many Job Openings will Yellowstone Club offer as of Dec 31 2025? 45 up to 54Bought: 02/07/2025 21:28 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 29.9% Gain: 0.03 KtN$ Current: 20.03 KtN$ @ 29.9% To Win: 67.20 KtN$ -
Will Kim Yo Jong become leader of North Korea? YesBought: 02/07/2025 20:50 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 69.4% Gain: 0.59 KtN$ Current: 30.59 KtN$ @ 70.8% To Win: 43.27 KtN$ -
After new alltime high above 21.100: what will happen next to NASDAQ 100 (^NDX) stock market Index? Nasdaq stock-market is closed for more than one day due to a crashBought: 02/07/2025 00:38 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 2.2% Gain: 2.02 KtN$ Current: 12.02 KtN$ @ 2.6% To Win: 481.14 KtN$ -
Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life? MontenegroBought: 02/06/2025 23:50 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 1.9% Gain: -0.07 KtN$ Current: 9.93 KtN$ @ 1.9% To Win: 562.18 KtN$ -
When will the United States of America have a president with the letter Z in their surname? 2050sBought: 02/06/2025 20:42 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.3% Gain: 0.06 KtN$ Current: 10.06 KtN$ @ 9.3% To Win: 108.95 KtN$ -
Will Kim Yo Jong become leader of North Korea? Not before 2080Bought: 02/06/2025 10:05 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 30.7% Gain: -0.95 KtN$ Current: 19.05 KtN$ @ 29.2% To Win: 65.50 KtN$ -
When will US Fed decrease Fed Funds Rate to the range 4.00% - 4.25% or even lower? Q4_2025Bought: 02/05/2025 07:11 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 22.8% Gain: -0.55 KtN$ Current: 19.45 KtN$ @ 22.2% To Win: 88.33 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? YesBought: 02/05/2025 02:16 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 27.7% Gain: 1.82 KtN$ Current: 21.82 KtN$ @ 30.2% To Win: 72.58 KtN$ -
What will be the Sunspot Number (Average Jan-Dec) for 2025 ? 140 - 149.9 sunspotsBought: 02/05/2025 01:40 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 29.9% Gain: 0.45 KtN$ Current: 20.45 KtN$ @ 30.6% To Win: 67.21 KtN$ -
What FOMC's target rate (BPS) will US FED Funds get in DEC 10 2025 Meeting? 250 - 275Bought: 02/05/2025 01:18 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 1.1% Gain: -0.16 KtN$ Current: 9.84 KtN$ @ 1.1% To Win: 1,000.00 KtN$ -
Will the 'Innocent Victims' statue again be displayed in London during the next 10 years? YesBought: 02/05/2025 00:50 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 51.2% Gain: 1.29 KtN$ Current: 41.29 KtN$ @ 52.8% To Win: 78.47 KtN$ -
When will U.S. beat the Global Average in Share of Primary Energy from Renewable Sources? 2022Bought: 02/04/2025 23:05 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 6.5% Gain: 0.77 KtN$ Current: 10.77 KtN$ @ 7.0% To Win: 156.08 KtN$ -
When will there be a statue of Margaret Thatcher in Parliament Square, London? 2031 to 2035Bought: 02/04/2025 22:50 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 24.2% Gain: -0.27 KtN$ Current: 19.73 KtN$ @ 23.9% To Win: 83.27 KtN$ -
What FOMC's target rate (BPS) will US FED Funds get in DEC 10 2025 Meeting? 425 - 450Bought: 02/04/2025 16:58 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.0% Gain: -0.17 KtN$ Current: 9.83 KtN$ @ 5.0% To Win: 202.11 KtN$ -
Egan Bernal has won the 2019 Tour de France. How many more 'Grand Tour' races will he win? FourBought: 02/04/2025 16:43 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 8.5% Gain: -0.16 KtN$ Current: 9.84 KtN$ @ 8.4% To Win: 118.98 KtN$ -
Bill Gates claims there will be no poor countries by 2035, right? No, more than 10 countries in the categoryBought: 02/04/2025 16:40 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 40.6% Gain: -0.47 KtN$ Current: 29.53 KtN$ @ 40.0% To Win: 74.16 KtN$ -
Which of these will become the 51st state of the USA? Puerto RicoBought: 02/04/2025 08:47 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 31.0% Gain: 0.35 KtN$ Current: 30.35 KtN$ @ 31.4% To Win: 97.41 KtN$ -
When will European Carbon Emission Certificates cost more than 100 EUR / to CO2? Q4-2025Bought: 02/04/2025 08:40 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 26.0% Gain: -0.74 KtN$ Current: 29.26 KtN$ @ 25.3% To Win: 116.54 KtN$ -
When will world population surpass 8.8 billion people? 2033 - 2037Bought: 02/04/2025 00:55 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 39.7% Gain: 0.83 KtN$ Current: 40.83 KtN$ @ 40.5% To Win: 101.44 KtN$ -
When will the United States of America have a president with the letter Z in their surname? 2060sBought: 02/04/2025 00:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 6.9% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 6.8% To Win: 147.68 KtN$ -
After recent bull run: What will happen next to NRGV Energy Vault stock-price? closing-quote for NRGV is falling below 1.3 US-$Bought: 02/02/2025 22:05 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 42.1% Gain: 0.14 KtN$ Current: 40.14 KtN$ @ 42.2% To Win: 95.61 KtN$ -
Will there be a water-war or a terrorism-attack around GERD Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam? 2026 - 2027Bought: 02/02/2025 21:47 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.6% Gain: -0.08 KtN$ Current: 9.92 KtN$ @ 9.5% To Win: 105.32 KtN$ -
When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2027Bought: 02/01/2025 20:08 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 13.8% Gain: -9.31 KtN$ Current: 10.69 KtN$ @ 7.4% To Win: 146.69 KtN$ -
When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? 2026Bought: 02/01/2025 19:20 Payed: 40.00 KtN$ @ 34.8% Gain: -3.28 KtN$ Current: 36.72 KtN$ @ 32.0% To Win: 115.81 KtN$ -
Will the 'Innocent Victims' statue again be displayed in London during the next 10 years? NoBought: 02/01/2025 18:52 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 47.5% Gain: -0.32 KtN$ Current: 49.68 KtN$ @ 47.2% To Win: 105.86 KtN$ -
Will U.S. join the Landmine Ban Treaty before end 2025? No / Not by suspension dateBought: 02/01/2025 18:20 Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @ 77.2% Gain: 2.12 KtN$ Current: 92.12 KtN$ @ 79.0% To Win: 116.91 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win a Texas U.S. Senate seat before the end of 2028? NoBought: 01/31/2025 16:33 Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @ 69.0% Gain: 0.09 KtN$ Current: 80.09 KtN$ @ 69.1% To Win: 116.35 KtN$ -
Will Global Military Expenditures exceed 2.666 Bio US-$ in 2024? YesBought: 01/31/2025 11:00 Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @ 49.0% Gain: 2.23 KtN$ Current: 72.23 KtN$ @ 50.6% To Win: 143.82 KtN$ -
In how many months in 2025 will the CO2 value be below 426 ppm ? in 4 months below 426 ppmBought: 01/31/2025 10:40 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 30.8% Gain: -2.13 KtN$ Current: 47.87 KtN$ @ 29.5% To Win: 164.35 KtN$ -
Will Donald & Melania Trump divorce? YesBought: 01/31/2025 10:21 Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @ 50.7% Gain: 0.48 KtN$ Current: 80.48 KtN$ @ 51.0% To Win: 159.07 KtN$ -
Duke & Duchess of Cambridge: Will they stop at three children? YesBought: 01/31/2025 10:12 Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @ 57.6% Gain: 2.24 KtN$ Current: 92.24 KtN$ @ 59.0% To Win: 157.31 KtN$ -
When will Apple deliver a self-driving car? 2025Bought: 01/31/2025 10:11 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 2.2% Gain: 0.63 KtN$ Current: 10.63 KtN$ @ 2.3% To Win: 479.27 KtN$ -
What Australian Summer Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2024/2025 (base: 1961-1990) ? between +1.00° and +1.25°CBought: 01/31/2025 09:40 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 29.2% Gain: -1.56 KtN$ Current: 48.44 KtN$ @ 28.3% To Win: 173.21 KtN$ -
In what year will Lindsay Hoyle cease to be the Speaker of the UK House of Commons? 2024Bought: 01/30/2025 19:05 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.0% Gain: 0.24 KtN$ Current: 10.24 KtN$ @ 5.1% To Win: 203.07 KtN$ -
Will Putin fire tactical nuclear weapons to Ukraine or one of the Baltic Countries? later or neverBought: 01/30/2025 06:05 Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @ 51.7% Gain: -10.82 KtN$ Current: 79.18 KtN$ @ 45.5% To Win: 175.58 KtN$ -
What Temperature Anomaly (basis 1961-1990) will Germany get in 2025? >= +2.5°CBought: 01/30/2025 05:40 Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @ 47.2% Gain: -1.39 KtN$ Current: 88.61 KtN$ @ 46.5% To Win: 192.49 KtN$ -
What Australian Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025 (base: 1961-1990) ? +1.0°C or lessBought: 01/30/2025 03:18 Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @ 29.6% Gain: -0.95 KtN$ Current: 59.05 KtN$ @ 29.1% To Win: 205.85 KtN$ -
What Australian Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2025 (base: 1961-1990) ? > +1.5°CBought: 01/30/2025 03:00 Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @ 29.7% Gain: 1.80 KtN$ Current: 61.80 KtN$ @ 30.6% To Win: 204.62 KtN$ -
When will there be a statue of Margaret Thatcher in Parliament Square, London? 2031 to 2035Bought: 01/29/2025 06:07 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 24.0% Gain: -0.33 KtN$ Current: 49.67 KtN$ @ 23.9% To Win: 211.51 KtN$ -
What number of named Pacific Hurricanes + Storms + Depressions will storm-season 2025 have? 17 or lessBought: 01/29/2025 05:21 Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @ 29.5% Gain: -0.51 KtN$ Current: 59.49 KtN$ @ 29.2% To Win: 206.64 KtN$ -
Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? YesBought: 01/28/2025 13:30 Payed: 150.00 KtN$ @ 64.2% Gain: 3.47 KtN$ Current: 153.47 KtN$ @ 65.7% To Win: 235.01 KtN$ -
Will the 'Innocent Victims' statue again be displayed in London during the next 10 years? NoBought: 01/28/2025 12:50 Payed: 110.00 KtN$ @ 45.9% Gain: 3.13 KtN$ Current: 113.13 KtN$ @ 47.2% To Win: 242.43 KtN$ -
What will be S&P next US credit rating? lower than AA+Bought: 01/28/2025 09:33 Payed: 110.00 KtN$ @ 53.8% Gain: -0.15 KtN$ Current: 109.85 KtN$ @ 53.3% To Win: 206.27 KtN$ -
Will Iceland keep first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2024 ? NOBought: 01/28/2025 08:29 Payed: 130.00 KtN$ @ 55.3% Gain: -0.18 KtN$ Current: 129.82 KtN$ @ 54.8% To Win: 236.89 KtN$ -
Which of these Pretious Metals Stocks will have best performance between Apr-1-2024 and Sep-30-2025? Wheaton Pretious Metals WPMBought: 01/28/2025 03:18 Payed: 70.00 KtN$ @ 27.4% Gain: 2.68 KtN$ Current: 72.68 KtN$ @ 28.5% To Win: 259.89 KtN$ -
What's the number of documents listed in google search for language "Esperanto" as of 12/31/2024 ? 2.222.000.000 or even moreBought: 01/28/2025 02:50 Payed: 190.00 KtN$ @ 74.1% Gain: -0.36 KtN$ Current: 189.64 KtN$ @ 73.7% To Win: 257.24 KtN$ -
Earthquake Prediction: When will California get again an earthquake > 6.4 Magnitude ? later or neverBought: 01/28/2025 01:11 Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @ 41.9% Gain: -1.54 KtN$ Current: 118.46 KtN$ @ 40.8% To Win: 290.61 KtN$ -
Climate Change Performance Index 2026: Will U.S. improve from rank 57 ? NOBought: 01/27/2025 12:57 Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @ 52.0% Gain: -0.43 KtN$ Current: 119.57 KtN$ @ 51.3% To Win: 232.98 KtN$ -
Will 5 Year U.S. Treasury Note Yield FVX fall below 3.75% at any day until end of 2025 ? NoBought: 01/27/2025 12:47 Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @ 49.9% Gain: -1.67 KtN$ Current: 118.33 KtN$ @ 48.7% To Win: 242.76 KtN$ -
Will Turkey be or become a full member of the EU until end of 2027? YesBought: 01/27/2025 12:20 Payed: 160.00 KtN$ @ 63.6% Gain: 5.11 KtN$ Current: 165.11 KtN$ @ 65.7% To Win: 252.82 KtN$ -
What Annual Increase (ppb) in Globally-Averaged Atmospheric CH4 (Methane) will we get for 2024? 2024 below 5 ppbBought: 01/27/2025 11:51 Payed: 60.00 KtN$ @ 21.2% Gain: 0.97 KtN$ Current: 60.97 KtN$ @ 21.5% To Win: 290.07 KtN$ -
When will Bangladesh win its first Olympic medal? 2036Bought: 01/27/2025 08:22 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 7.6% Gain: 0.51 KtN$ Current: 20.51 KtN$ @ 7.8% To Win: 268.45 KtN$ -
Which will be Kantar BrandZ Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brand 2025? AppleBought: 01/27/2025 06:10 Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @ 30.8% Gain: 0.89 KtN$ Current: 90.89 KtN$ @ 31.1% To Win: 298.11 KtN$ -
When will Apple deliver a self-driving car? 2024Bought: 01/27/2025 00:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 2.2% Gain: 0.09 KtN$ Current: 10.09 KtN$ @ 2.2% To Win: 470.81 KtN$ -
Which of these 7 EV Car makers will make the race within 15 months from Jul-1-24 until Sep-30-25 ? LI AutoBought: 01/26/2025 07:50 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 9.3% Gain: -5.21 KtN$ Current: 24.79 KtN$ @ 7.7% To Win: 331.98 KtN$ -
Will Global Military Expenditures exceed 2.666 Bio US-$ in 2024? YesBought: 01/26/2025 01:50 Payed: 140.00 KtN$ @ 49.0% Gain: 4.63 KtN$ Current: 144.63 KtN$ @ 50.6% To Win: 288.83 KtN$ -
When will summer Arctic Sea ice coverage drop to less than 3 millions of square kilometers? later or neverBought: 01/26/2025 01:50 Payed: 80.00 KtN$ @ 24.7% Gain: -0.60 KtN$ Current: 79.40 KtN$ @ 24.6% To Win: 331.38 KtN$ -
When will a Hyperloop officially be launched ? 2023 - 2024Bought: 01/25/2025 23:27 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 5.1% Gain: 0.99 KtN$ Current: 20.99 KtN$ @ 5.3% To Win: 411.26 KtN$ -
Which of these 7 EV Car makers will make the race within 15 months from Jul-1-24 until Sep-30-25 ? LCID Lucid MotorsBought: 01/25/2025 22:48 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 8.3% Gain: -4.91 KtN$ Current: 25.09 KtN$ @ 6.9% To Win: 373.77 KtN$ -
When will summer Arctic Sea ice coverage drop to less than 3 millions of square kilometers? Summer 2028Bought: 01/25/2025 22:40 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 15.2% Gain: -0.32 KtN$ Current: 49.68 KtN$ @ 15.1% To Win: 339.22 KtN$ -
Will Alyssa Carson ever land on Mars? NoBought: 01/25/2025 21:35 Payed: 270.00 KtN$ @ 80.1% Gain: 8.95 KtN$ Current: 278.95 KtN$ @ 82.7% To Win: 337.82 KtN$ -
When will crude oil wti cost more than 140 USD / barrel (former alltime high from June 2008)? 2025Bought: 01/25/2025 21:20 Payed: 200.00 KtN$ @ 55.3% Gain: 3.98 KtN$ Current: 203.98 KtN$ @ 56.4% To Win: 364.62 KtN$ -
When will the European Central Bank ECB cut the key-ECB-rate down to 3.5% or even lower? 2024Bought: 01/24/2025 18:50 Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @ 25.6% Gain: -24.10 KtN$ Current: 75.90 KtN$ @ 19.4% To Win: 402.01 KtN$ -
In how many months in 2025 will the CO2 value be below 426 ppm ? in more than 4 month below 426 ppmBought: 01/23/2025 11:52 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 20.2% Gain: 2.54 KtN$ Current: 52.54 KtN$ @ 21.2% To Win: 253.00 KtN$ -
When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2026Bought: 01/23/2025 11:30 Payed: 50.00 KtN$ @ 19.9% Gain: -15.25 KtN$ Current: 34.75 KtN$ @ 13.8% To Win: 256.11 KtN$ -
Will Jeremy Corbyn ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (May 10, 2027)Bought: 01/22/2025 19:50 Payed: 170.00 KtN$ @ 64.5% Gain: 3.32 KtN$ Current: 173.32 KtN$ @ 65.7% To Win: 265.15 KtN$ -
Will Iceland keep first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2024 ? YESBought: 01/22/2025 19:40 Payed: 130.00 KtN$ @ 45.3% Gain: 1.43 KtN$ Current: 131.43 KtN$ @ 45.2% To Win: 290.80 KtN$ -
Where will Germany's new nuclear waste site be? North Rhine-WestphaliaBought: 01/22/2025 19:10 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 7.7% Gain: -0.50 KtN$ Current: 29.50 KtN$ @ 7.6% To Win: 403.70 KtN$ -
What Australian Summer Mean Temperature Anomaly will we get in 2024/2025 (base: 1961-1990) ? between +1.25° and +1.75°CBought: 01/22/2025 16:50 Payed: 90.00 KtN$ @ 29.4% Gain: -2.55 KtN$ Current: 87.45 KtN$ @ 28.6% To Win: 312.46 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? NoBought: 01/22/2025 14:01 Payed: 230.00 KtN$ @ 69.1% Gain: 2.52 KtN$ Current: 232.52 KtN$ @ 69.8% To Win: 334.56 KtN$ -
Will Bitcoin-Price climb above USD 123.456 (closing coindesk) at any day until end 2025 ? NoBought: 01/22/2025 13:46 Payed: 190.00 KtN$ @ 53.8% Gain: -62.88 KtN$ Current: 127.12 KtN$ @ 35.7% To Win: 356.24 KtN$ -
Will the baseline water stress of the US improve with the next issue of AQUEDUCT country rankings ? total score will go down from 2.6 = less stressBought: 01/22/2025 13:40 Payed: 150.00 KtN$ @ 42.7% Gain: -7.50 KtN$ Current: 142.50 KtN$ @ 40.0% To Win: 355.98 KtN$ -
Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? YesBought: 01/22/2025 13:31 Payed: 120.00 KtN$ @ 31.7% Gain: -2.98 KtN$ Current: 117.02 KtN$ @ 30.2% To Win: 387.51 KtN$ -
Will the deforestation in the brazilian amazon in the year ending July 2025 sink below 2024 value? noBought: 01/22/2025 13:11 Payed: 200.00 KtN$ @ 51.8% Gain: 11.05 KtN$ Current: 211.05 KtN$ @ 54.6% To Win: 389.89 KtN$ -
When will the United Nations admit its next full member state? 2026 to 2030Bought: 01/21/2025 16:10 Payed: 160.00 KtN$ @ 42.2% Gain: 1.94 KtN$ Current: 161.94 KtN$ @ 42.7% To Win: 384.09 KtN$ -
When will the Geopolitical Risk Index GPR surpass the 20-year high of 167.34 pts (monthly average)? later or neverBought: 01/21/2025 11:40 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 23.5% Gain: 0.90 KtN$ Current: 10.90 KtN$ @ 25.6% To Win: 42.67 KtN$ -
Which is the next of these 11 countries to lose its standard & poors AAA rating ? NetherlandsBought: 01/21/2025 03:00 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 5.4% Gain: -0.14 KtN$ Current: 9.86 KtN$ @ 5.3% To Win: 189.07 KtN$ -
When will population of Masdar City (located in Emirate Abu Dhabi) exceed 10.000 inhabitants ? later or neverBought: 01/21/2025 01:54 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 13.7% Gain: 0.64 KtN$ Current: 10.64 KtN$ @ 14.5% To Win: 73.64 KtN$ -
Refugees: What's the number of Mediterranean Sea+Land Arrivals in 2025 ? 200.000 to < 220.000Bought: 01/21/2025 01:10 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 29.8% Gain: -0.67 KtN$ Current: 9.33 KtN$ @ 27.8% To Win: 33.63 KtN$ -
When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2024Bought: 01/20/2025 21:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 6.4% Gain: 0.73 KtN$ Current: 10.73 KtN$ @ 6.9% To Win: 158.07 KtN$ -
When will first humans live on Mars ? 2026 or later or neverBought: 01/20/2025 18:29 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 92.9% Gain: 0.08 KtN$ Current: 30.08 KtN$ @ 93.2% To Win: 32.29 KtN$ -
Estimate the life expectancy of Donald Trump: What age will he reach ? 80 up to 85 yearsBought: 01/20/2025 17:50 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 53.3% Gain: -1.68 KtN$ Current: 18.32 KtN$ @ 48.9% To Win: 37.56 KtN$ -
When will the SP500 Shiller P/E-ratio (CAPE-ratio) exceed the old alltime high of 44.19 ? later or neverBought: 01/20/2025 11:20 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 27.5% Gain: 5.39 KtN$ Current: 25.39 KtN$ @ 34.9% To Win: 73.01 KtN$ -
When will the next manned Moon Landing be? 2027Bought: 01/19/2025 22:50 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 44.7% Gain: 1.97 KtN$ Current: 21.97 KtN$ @ 49.1% To Win: 44.88 KtN$ -
When will Elon Musk build a colony on Mars ? 2036 to 2045Bought: 01/18/2025 16:52 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 18.8% Gain: -0.06 KtN$ Current: 9.94 KtN$ @ 18.7% To Win: 53.38 KtN$ -
After recent bull run: What will happen next to NRGV Energy Vault stock-price? NRGV will stay in range 1.3 - 2.7 US-$ until suspension dateBought: 01/18/2025 16:30 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 8.5% Gain: 0.35 KtN$ Current: 10.35 KtN$ @ 8.8% To Win: 118.53 KtN$ -
Earthquake Prediction: When will California get again an earthquake > 6.4 Magnitude ? 2024Bought: 01/18/2025 09:35 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 25.3% Gain: -0.15 KtN$ Current: 19.85 KtN$ @ 25.1% To Win: 79.45 KtN$ -
English Premier League: Which of the ever-present clubs will be the first to leave? EvertonBought: 01/18/2025 08:47 Payed: 20.00 KtN$ @ 22.4% Gain: 0.88 KtN$ Current: 20.88 KtN$ @ 23.4% To Win: 90.01 KtN$ -
When will US Retail Gasoline Price again fall below US$ 3 per gallon? later or neverBought: 01/18/2025 08:40 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 47.9% Gain: -0.87 KtN$ Current: 29.13 KtN$ @ 46.5% To Win: 62.83 KtN$ -
XPRIZE Carbon Removal Competition 2025: With which process will the Grand price Winner win? Carbon Capture via BiomassBought: 01/17/2025 01:38 Payed: 30.00 KtN$ @ 40.5% Gain: -1.18 KtN$ Current: 28.82 KtN$ @ 38.9% To Win: 74.49 KtN$ -
Will there be a water-war or a terrorism-attack around GERD Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam? 2024 - 2025Bought: 01/17/2025 01:20 Payed: 10.00 KtN$ @ 9.8% Gain: 0.32 KtN$ Current: 10.32 KtN$ @ 10.1% To Win: 103.32 KtN$
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