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infernalmachine

Member since 12/15/2010

All time highest net worth: 194,453.95 KtN$ (reached: 10/14/2024)

Current net worth : 189,737.96 KtN$

Predictions : 1,208

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Bought: 04/08/2025 03:49

Will Iceland keep first rank in Global Peace-Index (GPI) 2024 ? YES

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @47.4% Gain: 0.00 KtN$

Current: 100.00 KtN$ @47.4% To Win: 213.20 KtN$
Bought: 03/09/2025 19:22

XPRIZE Carbon Removal Competition 2025: With which process will the Grand price Winner win? Carbon Capture via Biomass

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @39.5% Gain: -0.83 KtN$

Current: 99.17 KtN$ @39.1% To Win: 257.38 KtN$
Bought: 02/20/2025 07:15

Will Moody's reinstate the United Kingdom's sovereign debt rating to Aaa before October 2033? Yes

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @57.3% Gain: -0.87 KtN$

Current: 99.13 KtN$ @56.8% To Win: 175.81 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2025 04:06

Which of these will become the 51st state of the USA? Puerto Rico

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @32.0% Gain: -2.02 KtN$

Current: 97.98 KtN$ @31.3% To Win: 319.37 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2025 04:06

Which of these will become the 51st state of the USA? Washington D.C.

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @18.9% Gain: -3.63 KtN$

Current: 96.37 KtN$ @18.2% To Win: 553.92 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2025 04:06

Which of these will become the 51st state of the USA? Puerto Rico

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @31.6% Gain: -0.89 KtN$

Current: 99.11 KtN$ @31.3% To Win: 323.19 KtN$
Bought: 01/21/2025 11:53

When will Russian Ukraine war end? 2026

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @19.5% Gain: 71.69 KtN$

Current: 171.69 KtN$ @32.8% To Win: 534.24 KtN$
Bought: 12/26/2024 04:07

Will U.S. join the Landmine Ban Treaty before end 2025? No / Not by suspension date

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @79.6% Gain: 0.23 KtN$

Current: 100.23 KtN$ @79.8% To Win: 125.99 KtN$
Bought: 11/26/2024 09:03

Will Putin fire tactical nuclear weapons to Ukraine or one of the Baltic Countries? yes, in 2025

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @52.0% Gain: -8.44 KtN$

Current: 91.56 KtN$ @47.6% To Win: 194.17 KtN$
Bought: 04/24/2024 04:12

How many United Kingdom teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Three

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @28.3% Gain: -4.22 KtN$

Current: 95.78 KtN$ @27.1% To Win: 362.77 KtN$
Bought: 04/09/2024 18:21

Will Putin fire tactical nuclear weapons to Ukraine or one of the Baltic Countries? later or never

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @31.1% Gain: 64.79 KtN$

Current: 164.79 KtN$ @50.6% To Win: 328.74 KtN$
Bought: 04/02/2024 17:00

Will the USA ever buy Greenland? Not before suspension

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @66.0% Gain: -19.07 KtN$

Current: 80.93 KtN$ @53.4% To Win: 152.28 KtN$
Bought: 03/13/2024 04:47

Duke & Duchess of Cambridge: Will they stop at three children? Yes

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @47.5% Gain: 24.80 KtN$

Current: 124.80 KtN$ @59.1% To Win: 212.73 KtN$
Bought: 02/17/2024 06:05

Will Donald & Melania Trump divorce? Not before suspension (November 11, 2045)

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @58.0% Gain: -12.58 KtN$

Current: 87.42 KtN$ @50.7% To Win: 173.58 KtN$
Bought: 01/20/2024 04:13

When will Bangladesh win its first Olympic medal? 2036

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @6.7% Gain: 19.15 KtN$

Current: 119.15 KtN$ @7.8% To Win: 1,722.45 KtN$
Bought: 10/17/2023 03:07

Will the Patriots win another Super Bowl in the next ten years? No

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @65.8% Gain: 15.26 KtN$

Current: 115.26 KtN$ @75.7% To Win: 152.80 KtN$
Bought: 08/18/2023 03:20

James Bond - Who will be the next? Other

Payed: 200.00 KtN$ @43.6% Gain: 13.39 KtN$

Current: 213.39 KtN$ @46.5% To Win: 464.69 KtN$
Bought: 08/03/2023 03:24

Where will Donald Trump spend mostpart (>80%) of the rest of his life? U.S. - in prison

Payed: 300.00 KtN$ @22.7% Gain: -188.78 KtN$

Current: 111.22 KtN$ @8.1% To Win: 1,370.30 KtN$
Bought: 07/19/2023 05:15

When will first humans live on Mars ? 2026 or later or never

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @84.5% Gain: 10.36 KtN$

Current: 110.36 KtN$ @93.1% To Win: 118.62 KtN$
Bought: 07/04/2023 03:10

Will Kim Yo Jong become leader of North Korea? Yes

Payed: 300.00 KtN$ @56.8% Gain: 72.60 KtN$

Current: 372.60 KtN$ @70.3% To Win: 532.01 KtN$
Bought: 06/03/2023 03:13

XPRIZE Carbon Removal Competition 2025: With which process will the Grand price Winner win? Technical Carbon Capture at point of emission

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @27.8% Gain: -8.58 KtN$

Current: 91.42 KtN$ @25.4% To Win: 369.82 KtN$
Bought: 05/12/2023 03:07

When will Apple deliver a self-driving car? later or never

Payed: 1,000.00 KtN$ @19.1% Gain: 4,327.62 KtN$

Current: 5,327.62 KtN$ @94.9% To Win: 5,616.67 KtN$
Bought: 04/27/2023 03:58

Will Donald & Melania Trump divorce? Not before suspension (November 11, 2045)

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @53.7% Gain: -5.55 KtN$

Current: 94.45 KtN$ @50.7% To Win: 187.79 KtN$
Bought: 03/24/2023 21:15

Will Alyssa Carson ever land on Mars? Yes

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @23.2% Gain: -25.48 KtN$

Current: 74.52 KtN$ @17.3% To Win: 446.79 KtN$
Bought: 03/13/2023 04:22

When will Tesla have 1 million autonomous “robotaxis” on the road? later or never

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @61.1% Gain: 37.40 KtN$

Current: 137.40 KtN$ @83.6% To Win: 164.75 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2023 04:53

Which of these will become the 51st state of the USA? Washington D.C.

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @16.8% Gain: 8.79 KtN$

Current: 108.79 KtN$ @18.2% To Win: 626.57 KtN$
Bought: 02/05/2023 04:53

Which of these will become the 51st state of the USA? Puerto Rico

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @33.9% Gain: -7.66 KtN$

Current: 92.34 KtN$ @31.3% To Win: 300.45 KtN$
Bought: 01/21/2023 10:24

Bill Gates claims there will be no poor countries by 2035, right? No, more than 10 countries in the category

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @49.7% Gain: -19.52 KtN$

Current: 80.48 KtN$ @40.0% To Win: 203.31 KtN$
Bought: 12/31/2022 04:24

Will Time Travel be possible before 2030? No

Payed: 1,000.00 KtN$ @79.7% Gain: 156.03 KtN$

Current: 1,156.03 KtN$ @91.9% To Win: 1,258.72 KtN$
Bought: 12/16/2022 05:38

When will a Hyperloop officially be launched ? later or never

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @47.0% Gain: 42.87 KtN$

Current: 142.87 KtN$ @66.8% To Win: 215.07 KtN$
Bought: 12/01/2022 12:17

Will Jeremy Corbyn ever be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? Not before suspension (May 10, 2027)

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @69.7% Gain: -7.84 KtN$

Current: 92.16 KtN$ @64.2% To Win: 144.17 KtN$
Bought: 08/31/2022 03:40

Will the Patriots win another Super Bowl in the next ten years? No

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @67.8% Gain: 11.76 KtN$

Current: 111.76 KtN$ @75.7% To Win: 148.16 KtN$
Bought: 05/28/2022 03:10

Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? Yes

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @42.5% Gain: -28.30 KtN$

Current: 71.70 KtN$ @30.4% To Win: 238.76 KtN$
Bought: 04/24/2022 01:24

What will be the age of the President of the USA on the 4th July 2025? Above 80

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @9.2% Gain: -11.27 KtN$

Current: 88.73 KtN$ @8.1% To Win: 1,212.67 KtN$
Bought: 04/21/2022 21:52

Will Kim Yo Jong become leader of North Korea? Yes

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @52.0% Gain: 36.03 KtN$

Current: 136.03 KtN$ @70.3% To Win: 194.22 KtN$
Bought: 02/21/2022 04:56

XPRIZE Carbon Removal Competition 2025: With which process will the Grand price Winner win? Other method / model

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @39.2% Gain: -37.36 KtN$

Current: 62.64 KtN$ @24.6% To Win: 259.15 KtN$
Bought: 01/22/2022 06:46

Which of these will become the 51st state of the USA? Washington D.C.

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @12.3% Gain: 51.94 KtN$

Current: 151.94 KtN$ @18.2% To Win: 875.17 KtN$
Bought: 06/27/2020 03:25

What will be the age of the President of the USA on the 4th July 2025? Above 80

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @13.8% Gain: -41.12 KtN$

Current: 58.88 KtN$ @8.1% To Win: 773.11 KtN$
Bought: 06/12/2020 03:35

Will the Patriots win another Super Bowl in the next ten years? No

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @52.7% Gain: 44.43 KtN$

Current: 144.43 KtN$ @75.7% To Win: 191.46 KtN$
Bought: 08/31/2019 03:02

Will Jose Mourinho ever coach the Portugal national soccer team? Yes

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @47.1% Gain: 32.83 KtN$

Current: 132.83 KtN$ @62.3% To Win: 214.63 KtN$
Bought: 12/16/2018 00:38

Will the Democrats win the Texas presidential electoral college seats before the end of 2028? Yes

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @59.0% Gain: -48.41 KtN$

Current: 51.59 KtN$ @30.4% To Win: 170.64 KtN$
Bought: 12/19/2014 17:02

When will a greater than human artificial intelligence be demonstrated publicly? After 2040, or never

Payed: 100.00 KtN$ @5.2% Gain: 10.93 KtN$

Current: 110.93 KtN$ @5.6% To Win: 2,373.77 KtN$

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Failure

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @47.4%	Gain:	0.00 KtN$
Current:	100.00 KtN$ @47.4%	To Win:	213.20 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @39.5%	Gain:	-0.83 KtN$
Current:	99.17 KtN$ @39.1%	To Win:	257.38 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @57.3%	Gain:	-0.87 KtN$
Current:	99.13 KtN$ @56.8%	To Win:	175.81 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @32.0%	Gain:	-2.02 KtN$
Current:	97.98 KtN$ @31.3%	To Win:	319.37 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @18.9%	Gain:	-3.63 KtN$
Current:	96.37 KtN$ @18.2%	To Win:	553.92 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @31.6%	Gain:	-0.89 KtN$
Current:	99.11 KtN$ @31.3%	To Win:	323.19 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @19.5%	Gain:	71.69 KtN$
Current:	171.69 KtN$ @32.8%	To Win:	534.24 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @79.6%	Gain:	0.23 KtN$
Current:	100.23 KtN$ @79.8%	To Win:	125.99 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @52.0%	Gain:	-8.44 KtN$
Current:	91.56 KtN$ @47.6%	To Win:	194.17 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @28.3%	Gain:	-4.22 KtN$
Current:	95.78 KtN$ @27.1%	To Win:	362.77 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @31.1%	Gain:	64.79 KtN$
Current:	164.79 KtN$ @50.6%	To Win:	328.74 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @66.0%	Gain:	-19.07 KtN$
Current:	80.93 KtN$ @53.4%	To Win:	152.28 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @47.5%	Gain:	24.80 KtN$
Current:	124.80 KtN$ @59.1%	To Win:	212.73 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @58.0%	Gain:	-12.58 KtN$
Current:	87.42 KtN$ @50.7%	To Win:	173.58 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @6.7%	Gain:	19.15 KtN$
Current:	119.15 KtN$ @7.8%	To Win:	1,722.45 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @65.8%	Gain:	15.26 KtN$
Current:	115.26 KtN$ @75.7%	To Win:	152.80 KtN$

Payed:	200.00 KtN$ @43.6%	Gain:	13.39 KtN$
Current:	213.39 KtN$ @46.5%	To Win:	464.69 KtN$

Payed:	300.00 KtN$ @22.7%	Gain:	-188.78 KtN$
Current:	111.22 KtN$ @8.1%	To Win:	1,370.30 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @84.5%	Gain:	10.36 KtN$
Current:	110.36 KtN$ @93.1%	To Win:	118.62 KtN$

Payed:	300.00 KtN$ @56.8%	Gain:	72.60 KtN$
Current:	372.60 KtN$ @70.3%	To Win:	532.01 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @27.8%	Gain:	-8.58 KtN$
Current:	91.42 KtN$ @25.4%	To Win:	369.82 KtN$

Payed:	1,000.00 KtN$ @19.1%	Gain:	4,327.62 KtN$
Current:	5,327.62 KtN$ @94.9%	To Win:	5,616.67 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @53.7%	Gain:	-5.55 KtN$
Current:	94.45 KtN$ @50.7%	To Win:	187.79 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @23.2%	Gain:	-25.48 KtN$
Current:	74.52 KtN$ @17.3%	To Win:	446.79 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @61.1%	Gain:	37.40 KtN$
Current:	137.40 KtN$ @83.6%	To Win:	164.75 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @16.8%	Gain:	8.79 KtN$
Current:	108.79 KtN$ @18.2%	To Win:	626.57 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @33.9%	Gain:	-7.66 KtN$
Current:	92.34 KtN$ @31.3%	To Win:	300.45 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @49.7%	Gain:	-19.52 KtN$
Current:	80.48 KtN$ @40.0%	To Win:	203.31 KtN$

Payed:	1,000.00 KtN$ @79.7%	Gain:	156.03 KtN$
Current:	1,156.03 KtN$ @91.9%	To Win:	1,258.72 KtN$

Payed:	100.00 KtN$ @47.0%	Gain:	42.87 KtN$
Current:	142.87 KtN$ @66.8%	To Win:	215.07 KtN$